JapeththeGoat
0x9a31cf2531dc71699cb0ab6083151d2ed3ef5af1
- Realised P&L
- $3.6k
- Volume
- $364.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,029
- Open portfolio
- $12.28
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,029
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration14.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$237.29at 0.073Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 76-77°F on June 24?
- +$230.24at 0.251Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C on June 26?
- +$206.49at 0.058Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on June 6?
- +$195.98at 0.076Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on May 25?
- +$195.70at 0.069Will the lowest temperature in Miami be 73°F or below on June 3?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 20:54 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.0099862069 | $3.30 |
| 09-30 20:46 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.1242412973 | $5.75 |
| 09-30 20:31 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.0698604954 | $5.36 |
| 09-30 20:29 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.256263103 | $19.66 |
| 09-30 19:53 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.0092294313 | $0.81 |
| 09-30 19:47 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.39 | $7.05 |
| 09-30 19:43 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.0213846154 | $0.28 |
| 09-30 18:32 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.039375 | $0.63 |
| 09-30 18:11 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.0141698611 | $1.66 |
| 09-30 18:07 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.5527183146 | $16.27 |
| 09-30 18:06 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.5460486398 | $43.56 |
| 09-30 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.0086842456 | $4.96 |
| 09-30 17:59 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.67 | $20.10 |
| 09-30 17:32 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on September 30? | SELL | 0.13 | $0.71 |
| 09-30 17:31 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 30? | BUY | 0.7479487179 | $29.17 |