cloud96
0x9a2b516c20b52b3f64cb7219fcccef6f129fbce2
- Realised P&L
- $-18.51
- Volume
- $231.10
- Markets traded
- 11
- Open portfolio
- $4.25
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-8.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded11
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration38.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample4 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration32.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.530 | $1.38 | −$0.62 |
| Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? · Yes | 0.530 | 0.276 | $1.04 | −$0.96 |
| Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.255 | $1.02 | −$0.98 |
| Trump meets with Putin by September 30? · Yes | 0.021 | 0.009 | $0.81 | −$1.19 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? · Yes | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-24? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.77at 0.797Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28?
- +$0.49at 0.116Will Trump say "God" this week?
- +$0.47at 0.914Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10?
- +$0.26at 0.885Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-11 15:31 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.1799999986 | $5.00 |
| 09-10 14:43 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-10? | BUY | 0.91 | $5.00 |
| 08-27 10:00 | Will Trump say "God" this week? | SELL | 0.148 | $2.65 |
| 08-24 14:20 | Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m? | BUY | 0.88 | $2.00 |
| 08-24 14:15 | Will anyone insult Donald Trump during the 2026 Emmy Awards? | BUY | 0.5299998781 | $2.00 |
| 08-24 14:15 | Will Trump endorse Flávio Bolsonaro for President of Brazil? | BUY | 0.7699997035 | $2.00 |
| 08-24 14:12 | Will Trump say "God" this week? | BUY | 0.1117827394 | $2.00 |
| 08-24 14:10 | Tyler Robinson convicted of homicide? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.00 |
| 08-24 14:08 | Trump meets with Putin by September 30? | BUY | 0.0209999896 | $2.00 |
| 08-24 14:07 | Will Warsh say "Good Morning" during Jackson Hole speech on August 28? | BUY | 0.7899999631 | $3.00 |
| 08-24 14:02 | Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be at least 900m by August 31? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |
| 08-24 13:54 | Will Fulham FC win on 2026-08-24? | BUY | 0.2399999856 | $10.00 |