PolyBot

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Traders

icewallowcome

0x9a232f10a4216bcdef1f8bdf7cb68d60ba4e66ef

Realised P&L
$615.33
Volume
$17.2k
Markets traded
53
Open portfolio
$361.79

Can you copy this trader?

plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded53
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)72.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.9090.954$288.89+$13.63
Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027? · Yes0.7620.865$72.90+$8.71
Will Janet Mills be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine? · Yes0.0900.000$0.00−$8.10
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 22? · No0.2700.000$0.00−$8.10
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.0820.000$0.00−$4.00
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$16.10
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 23? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00−$1.50
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$5.12

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-25 11:57US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 25?SELL0.01$0.90
09-23 13:36Will Belgium participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.7616990982$64.20
09-23 13:12Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.94$89.13
09-23 12:53Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.9$55.80
09-23 12:28Will Netherlands participate in Eurovision 2027?BUY0.8926835616$130.33
09-19 13:00Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?SELL0.048952381$5.14
09-05 09:59Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?SELL0.1710109442$36.88
09-04 20:46Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.54$2.70
09-04 20:41Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.36$39.60
09-04 20:33Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.28$28.00
08-19 18:21Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?SELL0.00260435$1.56
08-14 16:40Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31?SELL0.83$36.52
07-31 17:11Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026?BUY0.08$48.00
07-29 15:37Yevhen Khmara appointed as Ukrainian Minister of Defence by August 31?BUY0.79$400.53
07-25 14:59US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.72$46.80