T.L
0x9a2295661f3271b35ae4fb6a7078a208200ac1ef
- Realised P&L
- $42.0k
- Volume
- $1.42M
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar3.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration72.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? · Yes | 0.227 | 0.225 | $7.7k | −$71.03 |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.087 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.8k |
| Trump sues Jimmy Kimmel by May 31? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$23.86 |
| Lionel Messi: 2+ goals · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.1k |
| Lionel Messi: 3+ goals · Yes | 0.019 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.8k |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$58.9kat 0.098Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$7.7kat 0.100Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.7kat 0.155Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$6.5kat 0.517UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)
- +$1.7kat 0.078Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 03:09 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.9k |
| 10-27 13:14 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.4k |
| 10-27 01:51 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.23 | $2.3k |
| 10-26 23:17 | Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.22 | $2.2k |
| 07-17 21:00 | Lionel Messi: 3+ goals | BUY | 0.0187265139 | $3.8k |
| 07-17 20:58 | Lionel Messi: 2+ goals | BUY | 0.08 | $10.1k |
| 07-17 01:54 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.415 | $8.3k |
| 07-14 02:40 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.217 | $11.9k |
| 06-18 16:31 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.118 | $7.1k |
| 06-14 05:51 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.079 | $1.9k |
| 06-13 14:09 | UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.51 | $6.9k |
| 06-13 13:44 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.097 | $41.68 |
| 06-13 13:43 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.097 | $6.7k |
| 06-13 13:42 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.105 | $3.0k |
| 06-12 10:32 | Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.11 | $3.3k |