0x9a208069703d741c14cdc62b52db67140a4151ee
- Realised P&L
- $6.74
- Volume
- $54.37
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $9.95
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar12.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $630 Week of September 14 2026? · No | 0.260 | 0.993 | $4.58 | +$3.38 |
| Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes | 0.612 | 0.865 | $1.70 | +$0.50 |
| Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.988 | $1.48 | +$0.28 |
| Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? · Yes | 0.770 | 0.945 | $1.47 | +$0.27 |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.240 | $0.72 | −$0.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.05at 0.288Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference?
- +$1.44at 0.460Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026?
- +$1.00at 0.550Will Trump say "Save America Act" during RNC Convention?
- +$0.70at 0.630US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?
- +$0.70at 0.630US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:13 | Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (LOW) $181 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.6121440191 | $1.20 |
| 09-17 11:41 | Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.20 |
| 09-17 00:15 | Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 23? | BUY | 0.7699999807 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 16:12 | Will Warsh say "Anchor" or "Anchored" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.2799999533 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 08:05 | Will Warsh say "Gas" or "Gasoline" or "Natural Gas" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.48 | $1.20 |
| 09-16 00:02 | Will Warsh say "Pandemic" during September Press Conference? | BUY | 0.4299999498 | $1.20 |
| 09-15 15:51 | Will OpenAI reset Codex weekly usage limit by September 16? | BUY | 0.64 | $1.20 |
| 09-14 15:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.5899998869 | $1.20 |
| 09-14 15:37 | Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $66 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.4499999438 | $1.20 |
| 09-14 07:36 | Will Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) hit (LOW) $630 Week of September 14 2026? | BUY | 0.2599999783 | $1.20 |
| 09-13 23:36 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.8 | $1.20 |
| 09-13 07:30 | Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14? | BUY | 0.739999963 | $1.20 |
| 09-11 03:39 | Will Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) hit (LOW) $162 Week of September 7 2026? | BUY | 0.359999928 | $1.20 |
| 09-10 18:17 | Will Meta (META) finish week of September 7 above $640? | BUY | 0.3 | $1.20 |
| 09-10 08:52 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7? | BUY | 0.6299999685 | $1.20 |