0x35F178BE5a0E14Fb46c733c53E5502312908950B-1776030611223
0x9a15ba821a4e2938eb3a6c5fce84131fc859f358
- Realised P&L
- $26.18
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 13
- Open portfolio
- $90.98
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded13
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration36.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)83.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina leading at halftime? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.885 | $90.98 | +$3.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.29at 0.760Will Georgia win on 2026-10-02?
- +$5.03at 0.952Will Norway win on 2026-10-01?
- +$4.11at 0.950Will Croatia win on 2026-10-03?
- +$3.80at 0.934Will France win on 2026-10-02?
- +$2.03at 0.953Czechia vs. England: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 13:30 | Argentina leading at halftime? | BUY | 0.85 | $87.38 |
| 10-02 20:35 | Will France win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.93 | $99.99 |
| 10-02 19:02 | Will Georgia win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.75 | $49.99 |
| 10-02 18:47 | Will Türkiye win on 2026-10-02? | BUY | 0.15 | $100.00 |
| 10-01 20:06 | Will Norway win on 2026-10-01? | BUY | 0.95 | $60.80 |
| 09-29 19:48 | Will Czechia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.97 | $9.99 |
| 09-29 19:47 | Will Czechia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.97 | $49.99 |
| 09-29 19:29 | Czechia vs. England: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $24.99 |
| 09-29 19:21 | Czechia vs. England: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.97 | $25.00 |
| 09-29 18:54 | Czechia vs. England: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.82 | $24.99 |
| 09-29 18:17 | Anadolu Efes vs. Real Madrid | BUY | 0.78 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 17:55 | Will Finland vs. Belarus end in a draw? | SELL | 0.99 | $5.21 |
| 09-29 17:53 | Will Finland vs. Belarus end in a draw? | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 09-29 17:51 | Will Finland vs. Belarus end in a draw? | BUY | 0.87 | $4.99 |
| 09-29 17:40 | Will Finland vs. Belarus end in a draw? | BUY | 0.67 | $5.00 |