PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9a0a4851b5d1b8ddd20eb7cbc0f46339c29e489f

Realised P&L
$2.14
Volume
$205.36
Markets traded
38
Open portfolio
$4.26

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.0%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded38
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample36 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026? · Yes0.4400.500$2.27+$0.27
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? · No0.7800.982$1.99+$0.41

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 03:44Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?BUY0.549999945$2.00
09-17 03:36Will Apple (AAPL) hit (LOW) $328 Week of September 14 2026?BUY0.439999956$2.00
09-16 07:31SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 16?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
09-15 23:30Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 18?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
09-12 10:56Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from September 12 to September 14, 2026?BUY0.2699999784$2.00
09-08 07:01Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?BUY0.7399999186$2.00
09-07 19:54US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?BUY0.6599998944$2.00
09-07 10:42Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Jun–Jul–Sep)?BUY0.4899999534$2.00
09-03 22:28Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from September 3 to September 5, 2026?BUY0.459999885$2.00
09-03 11:53Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4899999767$1.89
08-19 06:11Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?BUY0.5729999427$2.00
08-15 20:20Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.71$2.00
08-15 11:47Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?BUY0.77$2.00
08-14 13:04Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?BUY0.5299998781$2.00
08-14 03:09Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during remarks in New York?BUY0.59999994$2.00