0x9a09a49Dd53d8b7e881cCa7979d36418C2a060eB-1769032305286
0x9a09a49dd53d8b7e881cca7979d36418c2a060eb
- Realised P&L
- $7.7k
- Volume
- $89.1k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $15.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration77.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample7 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)85.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration59.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Georgia Tech (-3.5) · Georgia Tech | 0.480 | 0.475 | $8.9k | −$93.75 |
| Spread: Michigan (-5.5) · Michigan | 0.500 | 0.495 | $5.0k | −$49.50 |
| Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.335 | $1.0k | +$15.15 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.066 | $88.51 | −$411.49 |
| Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes | 0.133 | 0.001 | $1.88 | −$498.68 |
| Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$200.00 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? · Yes | 0.157 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Spread: Boise State (-8.5) · Memphis | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.1k |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs · Spurs | 0.716 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$750.00 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? · Yes | 0.130 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$507.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET · Up | 0.336 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.13 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.1kat 0.512Spread: Texas A&M (-14.5)
- +$1.6kat 0.240US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
- +$588.50at 0.450US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
- +$358.95at 0.720Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
- +$155.28at 0.617Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-24 20:03 | Spread: Georgia Tech (-3.5) | BUY | 0.48 | $9.0k |
| 09-24 19:12 | Spread: Michigan (-5.5) | BUY | 0.499950005 | $5.0k |
| 09-10 23:38 | Spread: Texas A&M (-14.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $2.7k |
| 09-10 22:43 | Spread: Texas A&M (-14.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $6.6k |
| 09-10 16:15 | Spread: Boise State (-8.5) | BUY | 0.5050894083 | $1.1k |
| 07-22 19:20 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.3699999996 | $500.00 |
| 07-22 06:59 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3299999998 | $1000.00 |
| 07-10 17:48 | Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10? | BUY | 0.1574999998 | $500.00 |
| 04-28 23:37 | Spread: Celtics (-11.5) | BUY | 0.4399999997 | $300.00 |
| 04-22 09:54 | Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th? | BUY | 0.1399999995 | $200.00 |
| 04-22 03:17 | Will Cooper Flagg win the 2025–26 NBA Rookie of the Year award? | BUY | 0.6168637756 | $250.00 |
| 04-22 01:40 | Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30? | BUY | 0.009 | $100.00 |
| 04-22 01:39 | Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.7099999998 | $736.95 |
| 04-22 01:36 | Iran coup attempt by June 30? | BUY | 0.1295178308 | $500.00 |
| 03-26 17:38 | Will Matt Mahan win the California Governor Election in 2026? | BUY | 0.1329065889 | $500.57 |