Desertbogey
0x9a07fb074d79334e1cf46d215ad9ad5ccb4f576b
- Realised P&L
- $-12.87
- Volume
- $7.9k
- Markets traded
- 172
- Open portfolio
- $7.88
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded172
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration9.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)76.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: AS Roma (-2.5) · AS Roma | 0.500 | 0.525 | $7.88 | +$0.38 |
| LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs · Karmine Corp | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.75 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · No | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner · Legacy | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.75 |
| UFC Fight Night: Allen Frye Jr. vs. RJ Harris (Heavyweight, Prelims) · RJ Harris | 0.760 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.19 |
| Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from July 31 to August 7, 2026? · No | 0.778 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2026-08-06? · No | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.48at 0.327CA Bucaramanga vs. Cúcuta Deportivo FC: O/U 3.5
- +$5.13at 0.661Aston Villa vs. BG Pathum United: O/U 4.5
- +$5.06at 0.562UFC Fight Night: Andre Fili vs. Kai Kamaka III (Featherweight, Main Card)
- +$4.66at 0.582UFC Fight Night: Daria Zhelezniakova vs. Alice Pereira (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)
- +$3.46at 0.851Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 12:34 | Counter-Strike: BBL vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs | SELL | 0.999 | $5.75 |
| 10-20 10:55 | Counter-Strike: BBL vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs | BUY | 0.649999974 | $3.75 |
| 10-20 04:37 | Spread: AS Roma (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $7.50 |
| 10-19 23:59 | Goiás EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.04 | $0.59 |
| 10-19 13:55 | Goiás EC vs. Clube Náutico Capibaribe: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.5099999776 | $7.50 |
| 10-19 12:04 | Counter-Strike: BC.Game Esports vs WBT (BO1) - DraculaN Group B | BUY | 0.7599999838 | $3.75 |
| 10-19 10:50 | Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs | SELL | 0.75 | $4.53 |
| 10-19 08:58 | Counter-Strike: Alliance vs TheMongolz (BO3) - 1win Private Club #2 Playoffs | BUY | 0.6199999471 | $3.75 |
| 10-18 20:09 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-18? | SELL | 0.03 | $0.19 |
| 10-18 15:53 | Counter-Strike: FURIA vs BetBoom Team (BO5) - Thunderpick World Championship Playoffs | BUY | 0.7399999803 | $3.75 |
| 10-18 15:08 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-18? | SELL | 0.81 | $5.06 |
| 10-18 11:28 | Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) | BUY | 0.6799999855 | $3.75 |
| 10-18 05:21 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.75 |
| 10-18 04:19 | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-10-18? | BUY | 0.6 | $3.75 |
| 10-16 17:18 | Counter-Strike: Legacy vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.7199999923 | $3.75 |