PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x99f91c29515e845945cce79a50319004f2bd0fc3

Realised P&L
not known
Volume
not known
Markets traded
21
Open portfolio
$13.62

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

Not knownEdge per dollar—
No leaderboard entry for this wallet in the requested window.
ClearMarkets traded21
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration37.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No0.2910.075$5.15−$14.85
Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? · Yes0.1900.080$4.21−$5.79
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes0.3000.080$2.67−$7.33
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes0.2830.090$1.59−$3.41
Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00−$20.90
Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 22:20Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?BUY0.32$10.00
06-28 03:27Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw?BUY0.0420000004$5.00
06-21 17:16Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?BUY0.32$5.00
06-15 03:34Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?SELL0.97$66.44
06-15 02:07Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.7299999994$50.00
06-13 22:26Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?SELL0.28$4.31
06-13 18:10Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026?BUY0.2899999922$20.90
06-13 18:06Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?BUY0.5$3.00
06-13 18:06Will Japan win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.259999948$3.00
06-13 18:05Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?BUY0.269999937$3.00
06-13 18:03Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw?BUY0.2599999584$4.00
06-13 17:34Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13?BUY0.1699999702$4.00
06-13 16:22Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.197$4.92
05-31 22:16Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open?BUY0.1784645933$10.00
05-29 02:28Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.2909978318$20.00