0x90C74e65B7C7400CA220a880d44D9e4B30429ad0-1775955200389
0x99f91c29515e845945cce79a50319004f2bd0fc3
- Realised P&L
- $57.81
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $21.59
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.4%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.6% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)57.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthropic IPO before 2027? · No | 0.291 | 0.150 | $10.31 | −$9.69 |
| Will Tesla open orders for the Robovan before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.095 | $5.00 | −$5.00 |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? · Yes | 0.283 | 0.195 | $3.44 | −$1.56 |
| Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.085 | $2.83 | −$7.17 |
| Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.90 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? · Yes | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw? · Yes | 0.042 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.96at 0.085Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
- +$28.31at 0.420Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?
- +$15.97at 0.736Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?
- +$10.52at 0.327Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?
- +$8.05at 0.276Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 22:20 | Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.00 |
| 06-28 03:27 | Will Jordan vs. Argentina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.0420000004 | $5.00 |
| 06-21 17:16 | Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 06-15 03:34 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | SELL | 0.97 | $66.44 |
| 06-15 02:07 | Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.7299999994 | $50.00 |
| 06-13 22:26 | Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | SELL | 0.28 | $4.31 |
| 06-13 18:10 | Next Mythos-Class Model released by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999922 | $20.90 |
| 06-13 18:06 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18? | BUY | 0.5 | $3.00 |
| 06-13 18:06 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.259999948 | $3.00 |
| 06-13 18:05 | Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14? | BUY | 0.269999937 | $3.00 |
| 06-13 18:03 | Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | BUY | 0.2599999584 | $4.00 |
| 06-13 17:34 | Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | BUY | 0.1699999702 | $4.00 |
| 06-13 16:22 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.197 | $4.92 |
| 05-31 22:16 | Will Joao Fonseca win the 2026 Men's French Open? | BUY | 0.1784645933 | $10.00 |
| 05-29 02:28 | Anthropic IPO before 2027? | BUY | 0.2909978318 | $20.00 |