ParanoidAltoid
0x99eb15267d47ed9757a128838ba4cea8b900aa95
- Realised P&L
- $-458.10
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 21
- Open portfolio
- $207.33
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded21
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration95.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$597.93at 0.410Liberals win majority in Canadian election?
- +$15.70at 0.560Will Trump say "Peace" 10+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
- +$11.25at 0.640Will Trump say "America" or "American" 30+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
- +$3.47at 0.743Will Trump say "God" 5+ times during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
- +$0.79at 0.864Will Trump say "King" during address to UN General Assembly on September 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-14 11:55 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? | SELL | 0.37 | $25.43 |
| 10-14 11:45 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? | SELL | 0.0947595787 | $18.62 |
| 10-14 11:43 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | SELL | 0.1593325858 | $35.52 |
| 10-14 11:28 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | BUY | 0.8033057842 | $24.00 |
| 10-14 11:21 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? | BUY | 0.1272050506 | $25.00 |
| 10-14 11:11 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? | BUY | 0.5844928708 | $50.00 |
| 10-14 11:00 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? | BUY | 0.584158406 | $20.00 |
| 10-14 11:00 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by at least 80%? | BUY | 0.2631988463 | $32.85 |
| 10-14 10:59 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by less than 20%? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.00 |
| 10-14 10:58 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? | BUY | 0.9099999994 | $15.00 |
| 10-14 10:18 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | BUY | 0.5543822583 | $70.00 |
| 10-14 10:12 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 40–60%? | BUY | 0.5799999936 | $20.00 |
| 10-14 10:12 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | BUY | 0.3743036193 | $50.00 |
| 10-14 10:10 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 20–40%? | BUY | 0.9045725639 | $50.00 |
| 10-14 10:09 | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | BUY | 0.2561837453 | $50.00 |