helloblockchain
0x99e67a80049d9c8addb6beddcbfbb002d732b79d
- Realised P&L
- $-1.6k
- Volume
- $226.9k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $1.9k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration59.4% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)56.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Pablo Picasso be #1 in global fine art auction turnover for 2026? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.730 | $1.5k | −$307.35 |
| LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? · No | 0.902 | 0.961 | $155.44 | +$9.46 |
| LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? · No | 0.940 | 0.924 | $155.21 | −$2.69 |
| Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? · No | 0.012 | 0.010 | $68.54 | −$13.71 |
| Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$47.57 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January? · No | 0.930 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.39at 0.942Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
- +$34.54at 0.972Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 6?
- +$24.33at 0.979Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 3?
- +$11.18at 0.990Will the next US x Venezuela military engagement occur on December 4?
- +$2.21at 0.940US x Venezuela military engagement by November 24?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 23:06 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.9574009714 | $7.4k |
| 09-17 09:15 | StandX FDV above $3B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.005 | $1.44 |
| 09-17 07:00 | Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.012 | $2.35 |
| 09-17 06:38 | LAPTOP listed on OKX within 30 days of TGE? | SELL | 0.93 | $102.30 |
| 09-17 06:38 | LAPTOP listed on Upbit within 30 days of TGE? | SELL | 0.9210714286 | $128.95 |
| 09-15 10:31 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.063 | $22.05 |
| 09-13 07:41 | Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.82 | $508.40 |
| 09-12 11:29 | Will Pete Crow-Armstrong win the 2026 National League MVP Award? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.52 |
| 09-11 00:27 | Will Jenny Steen be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Örebro County? | SELL | 0.881 | $35.37 |
| 09-10 15:35 | Will $LAPTOP reach $10 by September 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.013 | $0.24 |
| 09-10 04:25 | Fetterman out by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0503318386 | $5.61 |
| 09-09 14:02 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.071 | $104.02 |
| 09-09 14:01 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.072 | $124.92 |
| 09-09 12:38 | Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.072 | $242.38 |
| 09-07 07:10 | Will United Russia win the next Samara Oblast Parliament elections? | SELL | 0.028 | $12.07 |