0x4d1572ea399cfcb0a4b25b364df2c5ba68697e18
0x99db49d23851731281ee2f4891a7355d7513c70f
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $25.4k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $42.67
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.611 | 0.110 | $42.67 | −$194.44 |
| Hyperswap FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.209 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.9k |
| Hyperswap FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.016 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$36.67 |
| Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? · No | 0.368 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.2k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.239Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 20:17 | Hyperswap FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2298159664 | $128.00 |
| 10-18 20:15 | Hyperswap FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2093915228 | $30.00 |
| 10-18 20:14 | Hyperswap FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.2084647936 | $2.7k |
| 10-18 20:14 | Hyperswap FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.02 | $15.68 |
| 10-18 20:14 | Hyperswap FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0135677101 | $21.00 |
| 10-18 20:10 | Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.6968898969 | $60.16 |
| 10-18 20:10 | Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.614758751 | $116.00 |
| 10-18 20:09 | Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5399999977 | $60.95 |
| 10-14 06:40 | Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO? | BUY | 0.2 | $100.00 |
| 10-14 06:39 | Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO? | BUY | 0.1858488722 | $250.00 |
| 10-14 03:56 | Over $100M committed to the Avici Raise on MetaDAO? | BUY | 0.3109460961 | $400.00 |
| 10-08 18:13 | Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? | BUY | 0.4299999997 | $284.83 |
| 10-08 17:28 | Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31? | BUY | 0.36 | $1.9k |