0x99d5bbde6424af557bcb46631100d55e86329622
0x99d5bbde6424af557bcb46631100d55e86329622
- Realised P&L
- $19.47
- Volume
- $86.0k
- Markets traded
- 752
- Open portfolio
- $77.23
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded752
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Timberwolves vs. Heat · Timberwolves | 0.540 | 0.630 | $44.33 | +$6.33 |
| Kings vs. Warriors · Kings | 0.340 | 0.335 | $16.55 | −$0.25 |
| Hawks vs. Pacers · Pacers | 0.550 | 0.535 | $16.34 | −$0.46 |
| Spread: Spurs (-8.5) · 76ers | 0.508 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.65 |
| Suns vs. Pistons · Suns | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.60 |
| Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 3? · Yes | 0.138 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$14.98 |
| Spread: Cagliari Calcio (-1.5) · Cagliari Calcio | 0.032 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.25 |
| New York Mets vs. Los Angeles Angels · Los Angeles Angels | 0.460 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5) · San Diego Padres | 0.498 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Casper Ruud · Casper Ruud | 0.577 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.14 |
| New York Yankees vs. Boston Red Sox · Boston Red Sox | 0.508 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Will Poland win on 2026-03-31? · Yes | 0.245 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.12 |
| Mavericks vs. Spurs · Mavericks | 0.154 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.25 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5 · Over | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Washington Nationals vs. Cincinnati Reds · Cincinnati Reds | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$461.08at 0.060Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangers
- +$78.28at 0.280Hawks vs. Spurs
- +$60.59at 0.452Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
- +$51.02at 0.396Knicks vs. 76ers
- +$49.82at 0.230Will Canada vs. Tunisia end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 14:45 | Timberwolves vs. Heat | BUY | 0.5399999952 | $38.00 |
| 10-10 10:59 | Hawks vs. Pacers | BUY | 0.5499999918 | $16.80 |
| 10-10 09:48 | Kings vs. Warriors | BUY | 0.339999998 | $16.80 |
| 10-09 22:49 | Grizzlies vs. Bulls | BUY | 0.5499999882 | $14.00 |
| 10-09 07:50 | Rockets vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.48 | $12.60 |
| 10-09 01:57 | Hawks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.2699999995 | $38.00 |
| 10-09 01:18 | Celtics vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.035766389 | $38.00 |
| 10-08 19:18 | Pelicans vs. Heat | BUY | 0.7299999651 | $14.03 |
| 10-08 17:07 | 76ers vs. Nets | BUY | 0.7199999877 | $7.00 |
| 10-08 15:16 | Rockets vs. Mavericks | BUY | 0.5299999868 | $8.40 |
| 10-08 06:17 | Hawks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.2799999994 | $38.00 |
| 10-08 06:04 | Kings vs. Lakers | BUY | 0.739015938 | $38.00 |
| 10-08 05:01 | Celtics vs. Cavaliers | BUY | 0.5399999952 | $38.00 |
| 10-07 19:59 | Warriors vs. Trail Blazers | BUY | 0.2 | $38.00 |
| 10-07 17:30 | Bucks vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.85 | $38.00 |