PolyBot

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Traders

num15

0x99d12c837b3b499ba0992c2680bd552a4701c317

Realised P&L
$-329.92
Volume
$32.6k
Markets traded
181
Open portfolio
$5.92

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded181
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 29? · No0.4000.410$2.05+$0.05
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29? · No0.5300.515$1.95−$0.06
Will the lowest temperature in Warsaw be 7°C on September 28? · No0.6000.525$1.75−$0.25
Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on September 28? · No0.5800.080$0.16−$0.99
Will it rain in Dallas, TX on September 27? · Yes0.4000.001$0.00−$1.95
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28? · No0.4300.001$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28? · No0.4500.001$0.00−$1.77
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C or higher on September 27? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00−$0.70
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on September 27? · No0.0090.000$0.00−$1.80
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 27? · No0.4800.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on September 27? · No0.0900.000$0.00−$2.00
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C or higher on September 27? · Yes0.0740.000$0.00−$0.93
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C or higher on September 27? · Yes0.0220.000$0.00−$1.89
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET · Down0.1500.000$0.00−$1.00
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on September 27? · No0.3800.000$0.00−$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 15:51Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 29?BUY0.4$2.00
09-28 15:51Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 28?BUY0.36$2.00
09-28 13:48Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 29?SELL0.44$2.20
09-28 10:57Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.34$1.70
09-28 10:48Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 28?SELL0.56$3.11
09-28 09:48Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29?BUY0.53$2.00
09-28 09:48Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28?BUY0.43$2.00
09-28 06:00Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28?BUY0.45$1.77
09-28 04:48Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on September 28?BUY0.58$1.15
09-28 04:48Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 28?BUY0.36$0.20
09-28 03:48Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 28?SELL0.84$1.83
09-28 03:48Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 29?BUY0.39$1.95
09-28 03:48Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 28?SELL0.57$2.33
09-28 03:48Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on September 28?SELL0.999$4.45
09-27 22:48Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28?SELL0.59$2.27