num15
0x99d12c837b3b499ba0992c2680bd552a4701c317
- Realised P&L
- $-329.92
- Volume
- $32.6k
- Markets traded
- 181
- Open portfolio
- $5.92
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded181
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$65.19at 0.499Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
- +$64.88at 0.529Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET
- +$47.71at 0.454Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
- +$45.00at 0.567Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
- +$39.21at 0.637Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 15:51 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 29? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 15:51 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.36 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 13:48 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 29? | SELL | 0.44 | $2.20 |
| 09-28 10:57 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 09-28 10:48 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 28? | SELL | 0.56 | $3.11 |
| 09-28 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.53 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 09:48 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.43 | $2.00 |
| 09-28 06:00 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on September 28? | BUY | 0.45 | $1.77 |
| 09-28 04:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.58 | $1.15 |
| 09-28 04:48 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on September 28? | BUY | 0.36 | $0.20 |
| 09-28 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.84 | $1.83 |
| 09-28 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.39 | $1.95 |
| 09-28 03:48 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.57 | $2.33 |
| 09-28 03:48 | Will the lowest temperature in Jeddah be 29°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $4.45 |
| 09-27 22:48 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.59 | $2.27 |