NMB6
0x99d085c77e1bde2cfa6efc4b25428718f0ed1f8f
- Realised P&L
- $678.47
- Volume
- $1.04M
- Markets traded
- 245
- Open portfolio
- $33.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded245
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration41.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $13.96 | −$0.02 |
| Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.996 | $4.98 | −$0.01 |
| Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $4.97 | −$0.02 |
| Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.999 | 0.995 | $4.97 | −$0.02 |
| Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? · No | 0.997 | 0.995 | $4.97 | −$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$191.92at 0.003Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
- +$181.15at 0.006Will La U win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
- +$124.28at 0.004Will Conservative win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
- +$84.40at 0.001Will La U win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
- +$82.13at 0.004Will PH win the third most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 11:16 | Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 11:16 | Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-22 11:16 | Will CZ post 20-39 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.99 |
| 09-18 03:30 | Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 03:30 | Will CZ post 80-99 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.997 | $4.99 |
| 09-18 03:30 | Will CZ post 100-119 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-18 03:30 | Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $13.99 |
| 09-18 03:29 | Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 18 to September 25, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 10:08 | Will CZ post 140-159 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 10:08 | Will CZ post 160-179 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 10:07 | Will CZ post 180-199 posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 10:07 | Will CZ post 200+ posts from September 8 to September 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-06 10:07 | Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $4.99 |
| 09-06 10:07 | Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |
| 09-06 10:07 | Will Elon Musk post 190-214 tweets from September 7 to September 9, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $5.00 |