0xJ4m3z
0x99d058607b4e01844c0153e6977c09c9531aa67e
- Realised P&L
- $-467.34
- Volume
- $1.40M
- Markets traded
- 8,495
- Open portfolio
- $5.05
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded8,495
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on September 25? · Up | 0.990 | 1.000 | $5.05 | +$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$265.68at 0.286Bitcoin Up or Down - January 20, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
- +$244.82at 0.290Bitcoin above 78,200 on May 7, 8PM ET?
- +$201.10at 0.020Bitcoin above 77,400 on May 14, 2AM ET?
- +$160.15at 0.010Bitcoin above 82,200 on May 10, 10PM ET?
- +$117.39at 0.460Bitcoin above 67,200 on June 2, 12PM ET?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 19:13 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET | BUY | 0.95 | $24.74 |
| 09-25 17:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $25.00 |
| 09-25 15:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $5.15 |
| 09-25 15:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.10 |
| 09-25 15:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $25.00 |
| 09-25 13:32 | DAX (DAX) Up or Down on September 25? | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 09-25 12:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $25.00 |
| 09-25 10:43 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $25.00 |
| 09-25 04:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 25, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $25.00 |
| 09-24 20:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $25.00 |
| 09-24 19:26 | Ethereum Up or Down - September 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $5.10 |
| 09-24 16:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9799999716 | $25.51 |
| 09-24 15:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | SELL | 0.981 | $1.70 |
| 09-24 15:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $25.00 |
| 09-24 15:24 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET | BUY | 0.97 | $25.00 |