0x99c59E053Dfe4b44fA0F7FfCF249Bf4d890E9850-1770199172240
0x99c59e053dfe4b44fa0f7ffcf249bf4d890e9850
- Realised P&L
- $-8.5k
- Volume
- $442.0k
- Markets traded
- 5,019
- Open portfolio
- $8.27
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded5,019
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration8.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration96.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.800 | $8.00 | −$0.10 |
| Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Falcons vs Packers game? · No | 0.410 | 0.025 | $0.25 | −$3.85 |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.214 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$2.19 |
| Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$3.29 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 25? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.00 |
| Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 24? · Yes | 0.299 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.99 |
| Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs · Phantom | 0.270 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$590.77at 0.401Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
- +$441.79at 0.404Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
- +$431.68at 0.271Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET
- +$365.69at 0.514Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET
- +$323.31at 0.595Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 04:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.81 | $8.10 |
| 09-24 20:39 | Will the announcers say "Offside" or "Offsides" during the Falcons vs Packers game? | BUY | 0.41 | $4.10 |
| 09-24 18:42 | Counter-Strike: Phantom vs Iberian Soul (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 5: Closed Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.27 | $2.70 |
| 09-24 16:02 | Dota 2: Team Yandex vs 1win - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.6099999656 | $6.20 |
| 09-24 15:30 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 21°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |
| 09-24 13:23 | Dota 2: Aurora vs GamerLegion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.53 | $5.30 |
| 09-24 13:10 | Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 09-24 12:07 | Counter-Strike: Iberian Soul vs NAVI Junior - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 09-24 11:08 | Counter-Strike: JiJieHao vs Eternal Fire - Map 2 Winner | BUY | 0.56 | $5.60 |
| 09-24 10:55 | Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.67 | $6.70 |
| 09-24 09:26 | Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Rebels Gaming (BO1) - Leon.bet Masters Group B | BUY | 0.5 | $5.00 |
| 09-24 09:07 | Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs Team Nemesis - Map 1 Winner | BUY | 0.29 | $2.90 |
| 09-24 09:06 | Map Handicap: NEM (-1.5) vs Rune Eaters (+1.5) | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 09-24 08:32 | Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.7 | $7.00 |
| 09-24 08:32 | Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 25? | BUY | 0.4 | $4.00 |