Ivan7777777
0x99be2d838ac244a9224729df472b0bf29eeccbf6
- Realised P&L
- $-1.23
- Volume
- $95.42
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $11.20
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the lowest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C or higher on October 21? · Yes | 0.114 | 0.270 | $9.45 | +$5.45 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.180 | $0.90 | −$0.10 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on October 21? · Yes | 0.020 | 0.017 | $0.85 | −$0.15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET · Up | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.83at 0.552Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 03:58 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on October 21? | BUY | 0.02 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 17:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.5399999568 | $1.00 |
| 10-18 16:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999328 | $2.00 |