0x99AaAaB59D4156F9cCB124830FA4B985dc887fb7-1770671385206
0x99aaaab59d4156f9ccb124830fa4b985dc887fb7
- Realised P&L
- $156.39
- Volume
- $1.4k
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $354.39
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.5%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration94.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.240 | 1.000 | $333.33 | +$253.33 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · Yes | 0.201 | 0.080 | $7.96 | −$12.04 |
| Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.095 | $6.79 | −$13.21 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.060 | $6.32 | −$13.68 |
| Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-09 21:34 | Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? | BUY | 0.0614812958 | $8.00 |
| 02-09 21:27 | Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | BUY | 0.1899999939 | $20.00 |
| 02-09 21:26 | Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? | BUY | 0.2011060835 | $20.00 |
| 02-09 21:24 | Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? | BUY | 0.2799999916 | $20.00 |
| 02-09 21:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.239999998 | $80.00 |
| 02-09 21:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.08 | $50.00 |