PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x99AaAaB59D4156F9cCB124830FA4B985dc887fb7-1770671385206

0x99aaaab59d4156f9ccb124830fa4b985dc887fb7

Realised P&L
$156.39
Volume
$1.4k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$354.39

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar11.5%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
Not knownProfit concentration
No settled positions sampled.
Not knownSettled sample0 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
CautionOpen concentration94.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026? · Yes0.2401.000$333.33+$253.33
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? · Yes0.2010.080$7.96$12.04
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? · Yes0.2800.095$6.79$13.21
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? · Yes0.1900.060$6.32$13.68
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30? · Yes0.0610.000$0.00$8.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$50.00

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
02-09 21:34Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?BUY0.0614812958$8.00
02-09 21:27Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?BUY0.1899999939$20.00
02-09 21:26Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027?BUY0.2011060835$20.00
02-09 21:24Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?BUY0.2799999916$20.00
02-09 21:20Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?BUY0.239999998$80.00
02-09 21:20Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?BUY0.08$50.00