PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

evieandlewis

0x999f3c7a1ec4c6b876fdc5f43aff0e8718b1da43

Realised P&L
$6.2k
Volume
$257.6k
Markets traded
422
Open portfolio
$592.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded422
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration84.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September? · Yes0.7290.855$500.87+$74.01
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by September 30? · No0.1300.495$24.75+$18.25
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September? · Yes0.1200.155$15.50+$3.50
Will Ethereum hit $3k by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.3280.145$14.50$18.30
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $2.00T and $2.25T at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0200.405$12.96+$12.32
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.75T and $2.00T at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0300.310$9.92+$8.96
Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.10 by September 30, 2026? · No0.4520.069$6.90$38.27
Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV? · Yes0.0180.011$2.10$1.50
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.25T and $1.50T at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0300.043$2.08+$0.63
Will SpaceX have exactly 14 launches in September 2026? · Yes0.0300.006$1.20$4.80
Will London have 80mm or more of precipitation in September? · Yes0.0100.045$1.03+$0.81
Will SpaceX have 15+ launches in September 2026? · Yes0.0300.003$0.50$5.50
Will Space Exploration Technologies’ market capitalization be between $1.50T and $1.75T at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.0200.048$0.28+$0.17
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $925B by September 30? · No0.1000.005$0.28$4.72
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of February? · No0.0100.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-12 14:28Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?BUY0.7945345452$357.53
09-12 14:27Will $LAPTOP dip to $0.10 by September 30, 2026?BUY0.451656$45.17
09-12 14:11Will NYC have less than 2 inches of precipitation in September?SELL0.08$4.75
09-12 13:30Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $125B by September 30?BUY0.13$6.50
09-12 13:24Will ANSEM be the first to hit a $1B FDV?BUY0.018$3.60
09-08 07:27Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?BUY0.5658892815$19.22
09-02 08:55Will Hong Kong have less than 275mm of precipitation in September?BUY0.4919634793$50.11
09-02 08:26Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in September?BUY0.12$12.00
08-31 13:08Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in August?SELL0.01$0.05
08-31 13:04Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase August 25-31?SELL0.999$99.90
08-29 14:37Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of September 2026?SELL0.6$108.45
08-29 14:25Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $800B and $900B on August 31?BUY0.93$37.20
08-29 14:24Will OpenAI’s valuation be between $900B and $1.00T at the end of August 2026?BUY0.88$61.60
08-29 14:24Will Anthropic have the greatest valuation growth in August 2026?BUY0.9$22.50
08-29 14:22Will Seattle have less than 0.5 inches of precipitation in August?SELL0.07$0.35