skybuyer24
0x99984e22205053950eb25453779267bcc1aee858
- Realised P&L
- $9.7k
- Volume
- $261.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,391
- Open portfolio
- $22.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- CautionMarkets traded2,391
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu convicted in corruption trial? · No | 0.270 | 0.610 | $15.25 | +$8.50 |
| MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase September 29-October 5? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.245 | $7.35 | +$4.95 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$204.35at 0.019NHL Stanley Cup Game 4: Overtime?
- +$182.69at 0.017Biden seen in public by Friday?
- +$169.14at 0.016Will Gen Z Quant kid launch another coin by Friday?
- +$146.56at 0.010Will Shilo Sanders play in week 1?
- +$127.76at 0.270Ethereum all time high by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-03 14:15 | Will no live-action Miles Morales actor be chosen by end of 2027? | SELL | 0.52 | $31.25 |
| 10-03 14:14 | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.37 | $18.50 |
| 10-03 08:14 | MLB Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - Rays vs. Yankees | SELL | 0.45 | $0.46 |
| 10-02 22:16 | Will Donald Trump visit Michigan before the midterms? | SELL | 0.05 | $3.85 |
| 10-02 21:27 | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 10-02 07:18 | Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned? | SELL | 0.0204777243 | $2.04 |
| 10-01 22:58 | Will Donald Trump publicly praise Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3 | $6.00 |
| 10-01 22:02 | Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.75 |
| 10-01 21:58 | Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.31 |
| 10-01 21:54 | Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned? | BUY | 0.1 | $7.70 |
| 10-01 21:28 | Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned? | SELL | 0.07 | $5.95 |
| 10-01 20:52 | Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-01 20:50 | Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned? | BUY | 0.13 | $0.65 |
| 10-01 20:38 | Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned? | SELL | 0.0919183942 | $5.59 |
| 10-01 20:29 | Israel Election: Sami Abu Shehadeh Effectively Banned? | BUY | 0.06 | $1.85 |