0x99974397d2181345b0df9e0aD60438F5A8bEA3de-1771820667089
0x99974397d2181345b0df9e0ad60438f5a8bea3de
- Realised P&L
- $-19.88
- Volume
- $7.1k
- Markets traded
- 20
- Open portfolio
- $429.61
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded20
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? · Yes | 0.515 | 0.800 | $429.61 | +$153.25 |
| Will Sébastien Delogu win the Marseille mayor election? · Yes | 0.015 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET · Up | 0.534 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$21.15 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Down | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.47 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET · Down | 0.516 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$52.90 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET · Down | 0.531 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$17.69at 0.551Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET
- +$16.87at 0.587Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
- +$16.30at 0.526Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET
- +$12.72at 0.529Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
- +$12.16at 0.531Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-07 21:17 | Will PAM win the next Moroccan legislative elections? | BUY | 0.5146281277 | $276.36 |
| 03-06 19:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET | BUY | 0.4799999981 | $48.44 |
| 03-06 19:51 | Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.1482892318 | $348.46 |
| 03-06 19:51 | Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.089672827 | $34.01 |
| 03-06 19:23 | Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1527774116 | $57.95 |
| 03-05 17:38 | Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2015483216 | $231.26 |
| 03-05 15:18 | Nguesso out as President of the Republic of the Congo by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1445108818 | $173.77 |
| 02-23 21:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999887 | $17.47 |
| 02-23 21:05 | Solana Up or Down - February 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | SELL | 0.4267093918 | $18.31 |
| 02-23 21:03 | Solana Up or Down - February 23, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET | BUY | 0.5096779872 | $21.53 |
| 02-23 21:02 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | SELL | 0.85 | $22.30 |
| 02-23 21:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET | BUY | 0.64 | $16.57 |
| 02-23 21:00 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | SELL | 0.99 | $17.03 |
| 02-23 20:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - February 23, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET | BUY | 0.7799999896 | $13.32 |
| 02-23 20:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET | BUY | 0.5099999935 | $6.87 |