0x9996347278898645BA984fA5dbfA6E6fc64d4F20-1782643102824
0x9996347278898645ba984fa5dbfa6e6fc64d4f20
- Realised P&L
- $-26.95
- Volume
- $2.3k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $22.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? · Yes | 0.107 | 0.038 | $22.48 | −$40.91 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.201 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$6.00 |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.017 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.048 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.90 |
| Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.75at 0.785Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06?
- +$-1.03at 0.003Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-07 05:57 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.0965773242 | $4.57 |
| 07-07 05:56 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0569999933 | $7.90 |
| 07-06 14:22 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.0885264413 | $8.82 |
| 07-06 14:20 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-06? | BUY | 0.7799999984 | $10.00 |
| 07-06 14:20 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0469999956 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 04:53 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.200999975 | $6.00 |
| 06-30 04:52 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0169999831 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 04:52 | Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 04:52 | Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002999997 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 04:52 | Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 04:51 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0219999787 | $1.00 |
| 06-30 04:32 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.1124611867 | $50.00 |