Obtio
0x998e169950da6f48d36860349eb6f609a4ed2ac3
- Realised P&L
- $-44.2k
- Volume
- $1.21M
- Markets traded
- 145
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded145
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium vs. Tunisia: O/U 4.5 · Under | 0.883 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$821.91 |
| Ethereum Up or Down - January 3, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET · Down | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.4k |
| Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner · Natus Vincere | 0.637 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.0k |
| Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 7? · Yes | 0.969 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.2k |
| Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-01? · Yes | 0.920 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.4k |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1AM ET · Down | 0.983 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.8k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.7kat 0.754US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?
- +$1.1kat 0.917Will Zelenskyy apologize to Trump by Friday?
- +$708.81at 0.910Will Kanye launch a coin in February?
- +$677.17at 0.822Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Alliance (BO3) - DraculaN Playoffs
- +$561.98at 0.852AD Ceuta FC vs. Albacete Balompié: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-06 18:02 | Russia vs. Nigeria: O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.9395361734 | $37.27 |
| 10-06 17:38 | Algeria vs. Niger: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.96 | $100.80 |
| 10-06 15:58 | Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: Faroe Islands O/U 2.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $697.71 |
| 10-06 15:49 | Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: Faroe Islands O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.9469663353 | $600.00 |
| 10-06 15:48 | Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands: Faroe Islands O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.9257026933 | $60.00 |
| 10-06 15:27 | India vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $100.64 |
| 10-06 15:15 | India vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.53 | $11.27 |
| 10-06 14:36 | India vs. Uruguay: 1st Half O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.8933364236 | $90.00 |
| 10-06 12:54 | Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) | SELL | 0.999 | $232.77 |
| 10-06 12:38 | Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) | BUY | 0.8285714286 | $150.80 |
| 10-06 12:38 | Spread: Korea Republic (-2.5) | BUY | 0.66 | $20.46 |
| 10-06 02:34 | Honduras vs. Jamaica: Jamaica 1st Half O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.89 | $1.6k |
| 10-04 04:20 | United States vs. Mexico: O/U 4.5 | SELL | 0.999 | $16.98 |
| 10-04 03:55 | Belize vs. French Guiana: Both Teams to Score | SELL | 0.999 | $499.50 |
| 10-03 15:37 | India vs. Brazil: India O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.88 | $1.4k |