0x998B3AD9Fc8219F4A9EF374196fFbb690832Db96-1776201383464
0x998b3ad9fc8219f4a9ef374196ffbb690832db96
- Realised P&L
- $582.14
- Volume
- $537.8k
- Markets traded
- 521
- Open portfolio
- $188.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded521
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration10.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$203.57at 0.040Will the announcers say "Handball" during the France vs Iraq FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$74.74at 0.260Will Starmer say "Northern Ireland" during the next PMQ?
- +$60.27at 0.160Will JPMorgan say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" 5+ times during earnings call?
- +$59.61at 0.130Will anyone say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during NASA news conference?
- +$48.37at 0.010Will anyone say "Blood" during Big Brother E41?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-22 19:42 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | SELL | 0.001 | $6.00 |
| 05-07 18:16 | Will Trump say "Cuba" during events with Brazilian president? | SELL | 0.88 | $0.92 |
| 05-02 17:29 | Will MrBeast say "Sport" during his next video? | SELL | 0.0019526293 | $0.45 |
| 04-21 08:31 | Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? | SELL | 0.08 | $10.03 |