PolyBot

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Traders

asafharari

0x99895be43689e3370fae75e8f8bded743b1089bf

Realised P&L
$-239.68
Volume
$51.8k
Markets traded
129
Open portfolio
$1.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded129
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration7.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration26.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement? · No0.8330.670$402.38$97.62
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.6700.840$376.12+$76.12
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? · No0.7300.895$367.81+$67.81
Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026? · No0.5390.915$169.86+$69.86
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · Yes0.7910.843$106.51+$6.51
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30? · No0.7820.365$93.39$106.61
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6210.000$0.00$100.00
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.2900.000$0.00$100.00
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? · Yes0.2500.000$0.00$100.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? · Yes0.5900.000$0.00$100.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$200.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3520.000$0.00$100.00
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 8, 2026? · No0.4190.000$0.00$60.00
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-23? · Yes0.5300.000$0.00$120.77
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7? · No0.7900.000$0.00$200.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-17 17:56Israel closes its airspace by September 30?SELL0.013411802$50.70
09-14 14:45Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?SELL0.991$135.87
09-13 17:53Iran blockade lifted before Iran-Oman Hormuz agreement?BUY0.8325476989$500.00
09-13 08:00Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?BUY0.7293859746$100.00
09-12 09:53Israel closes its airspace by September 30?BUY0.0264513177$100.00
09-08 14:39Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 940m and 950m by September 30?BUY0.7816986017$200.00
09-05 19:33Will Iran target Jordan by September 15, 2026?BUY0.4947555907$100.00
09-05 19:31Will Iran target an Arab country by September 15, 2026?BUY0.1636845907$100.00
09-02 17:14Will Iran target Qatar by September 30, 2026?BUY0.5386875606$100.00
08-26 15:44Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31?SELL0.9731236064$250.51
08-21 16:27Will there be Saudi Arabian military action against Yemen by August 31, 2026?BUY0.8510550862$200.00
08-21 16:21US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?BUY0.7299999995$300.00
08-19 14:27US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 22, 2026?SELL0.9828789946$178.70
08-17 16:25Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.6699999993$300.00
08-17 16:23US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?SELL0.85$293.10