cynthiawebb
0x99839407899bd5be36a7ab3f70dfce410e204f68
- Realised P&L
- $-1.41
- Volume
- $12.7k
- Markets traded
- 87
- Open portfolio
- $17.41
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded87
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration85.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration84.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.25% in September? · Yes | 0.430 | 0.665 | $14.66 | +$5.18 |
| Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 22m? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.044 | $2.75 | −$32.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$18.58at 0.580OpenSea airdrop before April?
- +$16.67at 0.540Will Real Madrid win La Liga?
- +$0.97at 0.670Will CDU/CSU and SPD form the next German Government?
- +$0.26at 0.988Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
- +$0.21at 0.985Will Elon tweet 240-249 times April 4 - 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01-31 14:21 | Will Solana dip to $90 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.92 |
| 01-30 14:54 | Will Lighter reach $3.50 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.32 |
| 01-30 13:09 | Will Opendoor reach $8.25 in January? | BUY | 0.999 | $25.78 |
| 01-30 12:53 | Will BNB dip to $700 in January? | BUY | 0.997 | $41.18 |
| 01-30 12:14 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,475-$4,600 in January? | BUY | 0.9979263886 | $35.79 |
| 12-30 12:30 | Will China invade Taiwan in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $2.38 |
| 12-30 11:41 | Will Trump pardon Eric Adams in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.47 |
| 12-30 09:01 | Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.9989999939 | $19.86 |
| 12-29 18:26 | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BUY | 0.9879999694 | $21.56 |
| 12-29 18:18 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.05 |
| 12-29 18:06 | Will Trump pardon Matt Gaetz in 2025? | BUY | 0.998 | $61.58 |
| 10-30 19:49 | Will Solana reach $250 in October? | BUY | 0.999 | $33.73 |
| 10-30 18:08 | Will Tencent have the second best AI model on October 31? | BUY | 0.999 | $36.19 |
| 09-29 16:28 | Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in September? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.76 |
| 09-29 12:43 | Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao by September 30? | BUY | 0.9949999865 | $18.02 |