strider-
0x997d116630ec7575f81798bf6267096801de5d15
- Realised P&L
- $16.5k
- Volume
- $2.51M
- Markets traded
- 95
- Open portfolio
- $95.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded95
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration29.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.7kat 0.833US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
- +$5.2kat 0.299US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$2.4kat 0.995Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
- +$2.1kat 0.730Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
- +$1.7kat 0.872US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 20:53 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 31? | BUY | 0.57 | $2.4k |
| 07-26 08:30 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.938888021 | $9.4k |
| 07-25 18:41 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.74 | $408.88 |
| 07-24 04:57 | Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in July? | BUY | 0.0218405767 | $97.44 |
| 07-24 04:56 | Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in July? | BUY | 0.011 | $68.53 |
| 07-22 05:42 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.996 | $10.0k |
| 07-21 21:54 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.18 | $87.67 |
| 07-21 20:18 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.17 | $405.55 |
| 07-21 19:17 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | SELL | 0.24 | $109.11 |
| 07-21 19:10 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.8098539697 | $7.5k |
| 07-19 19:38 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.9748604936 | $7.8k |
| 07-19 19:37 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.975 | $7.8k |
| 07-19 19:36 | Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina? | BUY | 0.977 | $206.36 |
| 07-17 21:08 | Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? | BUY | 0.33 | $751.10 |
| 07-17 01:28 | Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? | SELL | 0.1520230815 | $105.65 |