PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

lonmi2511

0x997cb45c25e94b4ee58c234ce1f211496a0d51f3

Realised P&L
$-51.2k
Volume
$983.8k
Markets traded
2,150
Open portfolio
$39.74

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-5.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded2,150
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration22.0% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02? · No0.5000.495$17.32−$0.17
Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-01? · No0.4700.555$5.55+$0.85
Exact Score: Republic of Ireland 1 - 2 Austria? · No0.8700.905$4.53+$0.17
Spread: Belgium (-3.5) · Belgium0.0080.009$4.23+$0.47
Denmark vs. Portugal: O/U 2.5 · Over0.5200.550$2.29+$0.12
Will Czechia win on 2026-09-29? · Yes0.1000.105$2.10+$0.10
Belgium vs. France: Belgium O/U 0.5 · Under0.2500.255$1.27+$0.03
Will Barbados win on 2026-09-28? · Yes0.2100.225$1.13+$0.07
Exact Score: Belgium 0 - 0 France? · Yes0.0400.037$0.94−$0.06
Will Wales win on 2026-10-01? · Yes0.1700.165$0.36−$0.01
Map Handicap: MIRA (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5) · ALKA0.5800.001$0.03−$28.98
Games Total: O/U 2.5 · Under0.4800.000$0.00−$4.80
Game Handicap: ZNT (-1.5) vs Once Upon A Team (+1.5) · ZennIT0.4370.000$0.00−$6.55
Game Handicap: IG (-1.5) vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (+1.5) · Invictus Gaming0.2300.000$0.00−$0.30
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A · Aurora Gaming0.4300.000$0.00−$2.15

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 22:17Map Handicap: MIRA (-1.5) vs ALKA (+1.5)BUY0.58$29.00
09-27 21:04Will Barbados win on 2026-09-28?BUY0.21$1.05
09-27 20:24Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.5$2.50
09-27 20:24Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.5$2.50
09-27 20:23Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.5$2.50
09-27 20:23Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.5$2.50
09-27 20:23Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.5$2.50
09-27 20:23Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.5$2.50
09-27 20:23Will Montenegro win on 2026-10-02?BUY0.5$2.50
09-23 10:29Yokohama BayStars vs. Chunichi DragonsBUY0.5599999686$2.85
09-23 10:29Yokohama BayStars vs. Chunichi DragonsBUY0.5599999686$2.85
09-23 10:29Yokohama BayStars vs. Chunichi DragonsBUY0.5599999686$2.85
09-23 09:51Map Handicap: QUA (-1.5) vs Misa Esports (+1.5)BUY0.9$17.50
09-23 08:32Counter-Strike: QUAZAR vs Misa Esports - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.49$2.45
09-22 13:41Counter-Strike: Fortress vs LPH Gaming - Map 1 WinnerBUY0.93$27.90