PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

ciktan

0x997c838c7b0f1b7e49290fc741f0c537a86c398e

Realised P&L
$-82.55
Volume
$10.0k
Markets traded
63
Open portfolio
$18.29

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded63
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration35.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)18.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Democrats win the Nebraska governor race in 2026? · Yes0.0700.065$6.50$0.50
Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026? · Yes0.1080.065$5.80$3.83
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? · Yes0.1000.041$3.01$4.33
Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1500.070$1.54$1.76
Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.1010.011$0.88$7.56
Will Elise Stefanik announce a presidential run before 2027? · Yes0.1200.032$0.56$1.58
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election? · Yes0.2040.000$0.00$1.20
Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026? · Yes0.1110.000$0.00$3.81

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-10 07:07Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?SELL0.143$0.18
04-10 07:07Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?SELL0.143$0.18
04-10 07:07Will the Democrats win the Montana Senate race in 2026?SELL0.143$0.99
04-10 07:07Will Waymo launch in Denver by June 30 2026?SELL0.11$0.47
04-10 07:07Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?SELL0.09$0.13
04-10 07:07Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?SELL0.07$0.57
04-10 07:07Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?SELL0.09$0.11
04-10 07:07Will the Republicans win the New Mexico governor race in 2026?SELL0.09$0.72
03-19 22:28Will Bernie endorse Antonio Delgado for NY-Gov by Nov 2 2026 ET?SELL0.06$2.95
03-19 22:28Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?SELL0.2755335968$6.97
03-19 22:28Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?SELL0.5$49.00
03-19 22:28Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.012$4.62
03-19 22:28Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.039$4.96
03-19 22:28Will Connor Burbridge be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island?SELL0.1$7.73
03-19 07:44Will the Democrats win the Iowa governor race in 2026?SELL0.45$21.18