kataus.na.hyu
0x997666b868c3b133713b805ae0532accf16359ac
- Realised P&L
- $-2.8k
- Volume
- $109.9k
- Markets traded
- 230
- Open portfolio
- $187.32
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded230
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No | 0.811 | 0.870 | $81.78 | +$5.57 |
| Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No | 0.684 | 0.933 | $33.61 | +$8.98 |
| Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.740 | 0.969 | $23.26 | +$5.50 |
| Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B? · Yes | 0.589 | 0.195 | $19.69 | −$39.78 |
| Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? · No | 0.400 | 1.000 | $10.00 | +$6.00 |
| Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? · No | 0.467 | 0.966 | $7.07 | +$3.65 |
| Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.732 | 0.140 | $6.44 | −$27.20 |
| StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.290 | 0.545 | $2.73 | +$1.27 |
| Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.356 | 0.054 | $2.43 | −$13.48 |
| Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.001 | $0.33 | −$3.57 |
| Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? · Yes | 0.414 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$40.63 |
| Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No | 0.649 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.65 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.628Will US Lecce win on 2026-05-17?
- +$1.2kat 0.427Boston Red Sox vs. Kansas City Royals
- +$765.29at 0.567Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves
- +$757.89at 0.399Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winner
- +$673.53at 0.293Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-02 06:46 | Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.5402480601 | $176.15 |
| 06-18 10:25 | Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.5633633588 | $33.21 |
| 06-01 17:35 | Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $25.15 |
| 05-28 18:31 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May? | SELL | 0.11 | $66.00 |
| 05-27 06:11 | Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May? | SELL | 0.016 | $1.20 |
| 05-26 20:52 | Starmer out by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.83 | $253.40 |
| 05-26 10:05 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May? | SELL | 0.18 | $55.65 |
| 05-26 08:21 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May? | SELL | 0.19 | $209.00 |
| 05-26 00:46 | Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May? | SELL | 0.19 | $28.47 |
| 05-25 20:34 | Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May? | SELL | 0.034 | $6.80 |
| 05-25 00:29 | Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026? | SELL | 0.35 | $38.50 |
| 05-19 08:13 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.1478483607 | $72.15 |
| 05-19 04:05 | Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.07 | $6.51 |
| 05-19 01:08 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.959 | $118.92 |
| 05-19 00:52 | Spurs vs. Thunder | BUY | 0.3453302267 | $137.10 |