PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

kataus.na.hyu

0x997666b868c3b133713b805ae0532accf16359ac

Realised P&L
$-2.8k
Volume
$109.9k
Markets traded
230
Open portfolio
$187.32

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded230
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Abstract FDV above $800M one day after launch? · No0.8110.870$81.78+$5.57
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? · No0.6840.933$33.61+$8.98
Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No0.7400.969$23.26+$5.50
Ledger IPO closing market cap above $1B? · Yes0.5890.195$19.69$39.78
Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season? · No0.4001.000$10.00+$6.00
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? · No0.4670.966$7.07+$3.65
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7320.140$6.44$27.20
StandX FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No0.2900.545$2.73+$1.27
Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3560.054$2.43$13.48
Will the Miami Marlins win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.0060.001$0.33$3.57
Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2026? · Yes0.4140.000$0.00$40.63
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? · No0.6490.000$0.00$5.65

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-02 06:46Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.5402480601$176.15
06-18 10:25Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.5633633588$33.21
06-01 17:35Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL0.23$25.15
05-28 18:31Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?SELL0.11$66.00
05-27 06:11Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in May?SELL0.016$1.20
05-26 20:52Starmer out by June 30, 2026?SELL0.83$253.40
05-26 10:05Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?SELL0.18$55.65
05-26 08:21Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?SELL0.19$209.00
05-26 00:46Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $280 in May?SELL0.19$28.47
05-25 20:34Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (LOW) $192 in May?SELL0.034$6.80
05-25 00:29Will Theo launch a token by December 31 2026?SELL0.35$38.50
05-19 08:13LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier PlayoffsBUY0.1478483607$72.15
05-19 04:05Houston Astros vs. Minnesota TwinsBUY0.07$6.51
05-19 01:08Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago CubsBUY0.959$118.92
05-19 00:52Spurs vs. ThunderBUY0.3453302267$137.10