PolyBot

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Traders

trabzon

0x996e85bd55d003ed9dfc099816f0b97e25b71087

Realised P&L
$1.2k
Volume
$21.2k
Markets traded
17
Open portfolio
$2.1k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
BlockerMarkets traded17
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration93.6% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample11 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)45.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.0930.915$1.2k+$1.1k
Will December be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.1630.255$719.09+$259.88
Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes0.1400.180$164.22+$36.07
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$9.10
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May? · Yes0.0700.000$0.00$28.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.0520.000$0.00$196.68

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-03 10:43Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.053$0.29
05-03 10:42Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.052$12.82
05-02 04:58Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?BUY0.13$9.10
05-01 18:20Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in May?BUY0.07$28.00
04-20 05:38Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.014$0.01
03-14 12:51Netanyahu out by March 31?BUY0.08$16.00
03-11 18:32Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?SELL0.009$1.28
03-06 09:08Will November be the best month for Bitcoin in 2026?BUY0.14$0.85
03-01 16:21Will Trabzonspor win the Süper Lig?SELL0.04$0.20
02-12 18:08Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.002$4.25
02-12 18:07Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?SELL0.002$4.25
02-10 16:54Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan be the next leader out before 2027?BUY0.002$8.43
01-21 17:12Will Trabzonspor win the Süper Lig?BUY0.011$0.41
01-18 11:40Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?BUY0.007$1.00
01-15 06:29Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0953212013$100.00