yulen
0x996365d41b899b36142ebbc10ae87d9507991674
- Realised P&L
- $-15.5k
- Volume
- $655.0k
- Markets traded
- 139
- Open portfolio
- $5.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded139
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.985 | 0.951 | $2.7k | −$96.06 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.962 | 0.974 | $1.3k | +$15.83 |
| Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026 · No | 0.931 | 0.925 | $818.51 | −$5.42 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by March 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.981 | 0.990 | $552.42 | +$5.14 |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.971 | 0.987 | $35.53 | +$0.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.4kat 0.901USD.AI FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$1.6kat 0.933USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?
- +$1.2kat 0.937Sentio FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$796.58at 0.862Fluent FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$790.57at 0.929Will OpenSea launch a token by March 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-29 11:49 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.986 | $187.34 |
| 10-29 11:48 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.984910461 | $1.1k |
| 10-29 11:44 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.985 | $36.79 |
| 10-29 11:43 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9878333333 | $59.27 |
| 10-29 11:43 | Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9843285223 | $1.4k |
| 10-29 10:45 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.987 | $7.01 |
| 10-29 10:31 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.003 | $2.85 |
| 10-29 10:31 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.004 | $1.08 |
| 10-29 10:31 | Will Predict.fun launch a token by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.005 | $3.61 |
| 10-29 05:56 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.983 | $30.28 |
| 10-27 19:36 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.964 | $4.82 |
| 10-27 19:36 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.964 | $5.12 |
| 10-27 19:36 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.964 | $9.34 |
| 10-27 19:36 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.964 | $33.88 |
| 10-27 19:35 | Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.964 | $9.64 |