danhong26
0x99622013bbec8d6ebf09452d5369ff26e2cdb8e2
- Realised P&L
- $-79.53
- Volume
- $48.8k
- Markets traded
- 342
- Open portfolio
- $100.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded342
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration90.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$15.74at 0.895Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 19?
- +$9.44at 0.955Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
- +$8.61at 0.929Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 15?
- +$7.06at 0.977Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on August 13?
- +$6.96at 0.930Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.988 | $9.87 |
| 10-04 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.9872802691 | $52.84 |
| 10-04 06:36 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.982 | $12.77 |
| 10-03 07:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.96 | $91.20 |
| 10-03 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 3? | SELL | 0.07 | $1.27 |
| 10-03 07:01 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on October 3? | BUY | 0.3 | $5.43 |
| 10-02 07:37 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.984 | $59.04 |
| 10-02 07:21 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.99 | $15.90 |
| 10-02 07:12 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 2? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.41 |
| 10-02 06:26 | Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.93 | $4.65 |
| 10-02 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.86 | $24.60 |
| 10-02 04:53 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on October 2? | BUY | 0.89 | $19.46 |
| 09-29 07:40 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 29? | BUY | 0.95 | $95.00 |
| 09-28 06:32 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.26 | $4.42 |
| 09-28 06:21 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 28? | SELL | 0.5 | $1.50 |