engagegressor
0x9955e23381c8e91657d5811337962ccd27c638a2
- Realised P&L
- $24.13
- Volume
- $3.9k
- Markets traded
- 14
- Open portfolio
- $214.98
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded14
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration33.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample9 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)77.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration77.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.790 | 0.945 | $167.47 | +$27.47 |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? · Yes | 0.631 | 0.545 | $47.51 | −$7.49 |
| Will Trump sue NYT/Siena over polling by Feb 28? · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$167.91 |
| Will GRVT launch a token by June 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.50 |
| Will another country strike Iran by March 31? · Yes | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$49.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$140.03at 0.440Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?
- +$133.47at 0.569US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?
- +$70.01at 0.610Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?
- +$39.69at 0.718MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$21.40at 0.736Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 16:08 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7899999994 | $140.00 |
| 09-29 16:07 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.6154424613 | $197.24 |
| 09-07 12:43 | Next Astra Model (6.1+) released by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5489431753 | $175.93 |
| 08-18 11:58 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.568707482 | $176.00 |
| 08-18 11:57 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.3069297392 | $31.54 |
| 07-21 20:08 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.6099999981 | $109.50 |
| 06-20 11:42 | Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2027? | BUY | 0.630900568 | $55.00 |
| 06-20 11:33 | Will Hyperliquid reach $80 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.7590268882 | $78.00 |
| 06-07 03:03 | GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7 | $72.00 |
| 05-17 03:05 | MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.709999998 | $100.00 |
| 05-17 03:03 | Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7291139274 | $22.00 |
| 05-17 03:02 | Will any AI model reach 1570 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7273828552 | $37.00 |
| 05-17 03:01 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.9 | $276.13 |
| 04-14 05:36 | Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.4399999993 | $135.00 |
| 03-11 20:51 | Will another country strike Iran by March 31? | BUY | 0.2399999967 | $49.49 |