helpisontheway
0x9952d39fcc7a5baf664da51dd1b9c95f23ca9cba
- Realised P&L
- $13.5k
- Volume
- $1.51M
- Markets traded
- 89
- Open portfolio
- $19.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded89
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.1kat 0.576 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$6.4kat 0.637US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?
- +$1.6kat 0.606Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?
- +$1.6kat 0.297Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
- +$1.4kat 0.791Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 03:50 | Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles Sparks | BUY | 0.936905121 | $2.0k |
| 07-10 01:55 | Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream | SELL | 0.0055725572 | $14.86 |
| 07-10 01:53 | Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream | BUY | 0.993 | $23.57 |
| 07-10 01:52 | Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream | SELL | 0.0043993994 | $1.47 |
| 07-10 01:51 | Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream | BUY | 0.99035855 | $1.3k |
| 07-10 01:50 | Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta Dream | BUY | 0.029028 | $87.08 |
| 07-09 21:53 | Will France win on 2026-07-09? | BUY | 0.9973653557 | $10.0k |
| 07-09 03:44 | Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles Sparks | BUY | 0.9777414304 | $10.0k |
| 07-08 22:36 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? | SELL | 0.9542776621 | $412.42 |
| 07-08 10:49 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9? | BUY | 0.6691 | $133.82 |
| 07-08 10:45 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? | BUY | 0.9585241379 | $138.99 |
| 07-08 10:44 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17? | BUY | 0.9592967535 | $9.5k |
| 07-08 10:36 | Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9? | BUY | 0.63 | $134.23 |
| 07-08 10:34 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | SELL | 0.55 | $143.71 |
| 07-07 01:40 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $1.8k |