PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

helpisontheway

0x9952d39fcc7a5baf664da51dd1b9c95f23ca9cba

Realised P&L
$13.5k
Volume
$1.51M
Markets traded
89
Open portfolio
$19.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded89
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.9% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.6360.585$19.8k$1.7k
Will fewer than 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00$17.00
Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9? · No0.6480.000$0.00$280.28
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30? · No0.1830.000$0.00$1.4k
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 12, 2026? · Yes0.0050.000$0.00$2.50
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$20.00
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.0020.000$0.00$2.3k
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers · Atlanta Braves0.5080.000$0.00$10.15
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.2810.000$0.00$2.0k
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping? · Yes0.2070.000$0.00$1.1k
Spurs vs. Timberwolves · Timberwolves0.3200.000$0.00$3.20
Will Israel announce the ceasefire has been extended by May 15? · No0.7200.000$0.00$72.00
Will 40-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 11-May 17? · No0.8690.000$0.00$17.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-11 03:50Chicago Sky vs. Los Angeles SparksBUY0.936905121$2.0k
07-10 01:55Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta DreamSELL0.0055725572$14.86
07-10 01:53Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta DreamBUY0.993$23.57
07-10 01:52Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta DreamSELL0.0043993994$1.47
07-10 01:51Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta DreamBUY0.99035855$1.3k
07-10 01:50Seattle Storm vs. Atlanta DreamBUY0.029028$87.08
07-09 21:53Will France win on 2026-07-09?BUY0.9973653557$10.0k
07-09 03:44Indiana Fever vs. Los Angeles SparksBUY0.9777414304$10.0k
07-08 22:36Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?SELL0.9542776621$412.42
07-08 10:49Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?BUY0.6691$133.82
07-08 10:45Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?BUY0.9585241379$138.99
07-08 10:44Will Graham Platner drop out by July 17?BUY0.9592967535$9.5k
07-08 10:36Will Graham Platner drop out by July 9?BUY0.63$134.23
07-08 10:34US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?SELL0.55$143.71
07-07 01:40Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?BUY0.91$1.8k