0x99488f84d55da9BC39707ae558C73dA99a3A186f-1783059561887
0x99488f84d55da9bc39707ae558c73da99a3a186f
- Realised P&L
- $-562.48
- Volume
- $5.1k
- Markets traded
- 3
- Open portfolio
- $45.69
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded3
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample1 position
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? · Yes | 0.110 | 0.105 | $45.69 | −$2.03 |
| Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.56 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-579.89at 0.312Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-06 11:37 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by September 30? | BUY | 0.1096553145 | $47.72 |
| 09-06 11:36 | Will AfD win 42-45 seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? | BUY | 0.16 | $4.56 |
| 07-28 11:21 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | SELL | 0.0285778695 | $57.03 |
| 07-17 04:52 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BUY | 0.1267087205 | $27.00 |
| 07-03 14:12 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BUY | 0.3462305088 | $153.85 |
| 07-03 13:49 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BUY | 0.3299999988 | $145.03 |
| 07-03 13:08 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BUY | 0.3090963457 | $277.81 |
| 07-03 13:07 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | SELL | 0.28 | $91.53 |
| 07-03 13:00 | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? | BUY | 0.2949498781 | $96.42 |