PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9940a54b0677b64c11e23a01bd895fc93fc501b0

Realised P&L
$-106.30
Volume
$2.6k
Markets traded
66
Open portfolio
$3.73

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded66
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration36.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.1% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? · Yes0.4500.185$3.70$5.30
Will Alibaba have the best Text-to-Image AI at the end of September 2026? · Yes0.3040.001$0.03$10.30
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$0.12
Will SpaceXAI be the third-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.1790.000$0.00$14.53
Salford City FC leading at halftime? · Yes0.4700.000$0.00$5.64
FC Imabari to win the second half? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00$2.64
FC Energie Cottbus vs. Hannover 96: Second half draw? · Yes0.3200.000$0.00$1.60
Boston United FC to win the second half? · Yes0.4000.000$0.00$2.80
CA Bucaramanga to win the second half? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$2.10
Will OpenAI be the third-best Code Arena | WebDev AI lab at the end of August 2026? · Yes0.4630.000$0.00$11.58
Will Angie Craig win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? · Yes0.2420.000$0.00$19.40
Club Bolívar leading at halftime? · Yes0.3100.000$0.00$3.72
Will Russia target Kyiv by August 31, 2026? · No0.2600.000$0.00$10.40
Shrewsbury Town FC leading at halftime? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00$1.56
Hannover 96 to win the second half? · Yes0.3800.000$0.00$1.90

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 05:11Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 16?BUY0.9199999952$15.32
09-14 04:20Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 14?BUY0.98$15.15
09-11 18:13Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on September 11?BUY0.9539999981$15.32
09-09 05:21Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 75°F or below on September 9?BUY0.9889999989$4.55
09-08 08:51Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 8?BUY0.95$15.31
09-08 08:48Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 16°C on September 8?BUY0.949999969$15.31
09-08 08:48Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on September 8?BUY0.98$15.15
09-08 08:48Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 19°C on September 8?BUY0.98$15.15
09-05 20:13Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on September 5?BUY0.9826984086$15.10
09-05 20:13Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on September 5?BUY0.9869999998$4.55
09-05 20:13Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on September 5?BUY0.9509999978$15.31
08-29 09:59Will the lowest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on August 29?BUY0.9665407958$15.20
08-22 02:11Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 22?BUY0.9789999988$15.16
08-21 06:58Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on August 21?BUY0.98$15.15
08-20 21:00Will the lowest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C or higher on August 21?BUY0.9841265532$15.08