Oso1
0x993ea2ef918b9ac9b428609532b02691fdc77c69
- Realised P&L
- $-251.96
- Volume
- $26.0k
- Markets traded
- 152
- Open portfolio
- $107.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded152
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration27.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)79.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$110.36at 0.202Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 31?
- +$37.31at 0.258Maduro out by March 31, 2026?
- +$29.08at 0.270Another Houthi strike on Israel by September 15?
- +$24.60at 0.180Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$24.35at 0.291Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 21:21 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 10-02 18:15 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 10-02 13:51 | Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? | BUY | 0.17 | $10.20 |
| 10-02 12:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in October? | BUY | 0.048 | $7.20 |
| 10-02 12:58 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in October? | BUY | 0.015 | $0.75 |
| 10-02 12:57 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in October? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.59 |
| 10-02 12:56 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in October? | BUY | 0.015 | $7.50 |
| 10-02 12:55 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in October? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 09-22 18:05 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.016 | $2.15 |
| 09-20 08:36 | Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.016 | $0.53 |
| 09-20 08:35 | Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | BUY | 0.0899999993 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 08:31 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in September? | BUY | 0.0779999989 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 08:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in September? | BUY | 0.016 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 08:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in September? | BUY | 0.16350241 | $5.00 |
| 09-20 08:30 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in September? | BUY | 0.0393460571 | $15.00 |