lekkerweertje
0x993c95f836ea033d97a08985060869270e208f7a
- Realised P&L
- $1.6k
- Volume
- $33.0k
- Markets traded
- 256
- Open portfolio
- $75.52
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded256
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Leavitt say "Border" during the next White House Press Briefing? · Yes | 0.600 | 0.485 | $23.16 | −$5.47 |
| Will Trump say "Los Angeles" in August? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.940 | $16.21 | +$11.38 |
| Will Trump say "Lincoln Memorial" in August? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.550 | $9.79 | −$4.10 |
| Will Trump say "National Mall" in August? · Yes | 0.867 | 0.680 | $9.32 | −$2.56 |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes | 0.669 | 0.215 | $7.26 | −$15.34 |
| Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes | 0.726 | 0.998 | $5.72 | +$1.56 |
| Will Leavitt say "Pool" during the next White House Press Briefing? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.380 | $3.61 | −$0.10 |
| Will Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.009 | $0.51 | −$16.49 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$614.77at 0.365Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 28?
- +$419.90at 0.415US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$218.25at 0.844Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 21?
- +$193.70at 0.177Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?
- +$159.14at 0.669Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-05 22:36 | Will Trump say "Job" 15+ times during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.7259999738 | $4.16 |
| 08-05 22:07 | Will Trump say "Refund" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.859999991 | $11.43 |
| 08-05 18:02 | Will Trump say "Career" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.94 | $7.22 |
| 08-05 18:02 | Will Trump say "TrumpRX" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.6820268548 | $6.33 |
| 08-05 16:18 | Will Trump say "TrumpRX" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.6099998972 | $1.78 |
| 08-05 15:07 | Will Trump say "Career" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.8499999936 | $6.62 |
| 08-04 14:47 | Will Trump say "Rural Health" or "Rural Healthcare" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.2999999912 | $17.00 |
| 08-04 14:10 | Will Trump say "Racist" or "Lebron James" during remarks in Las Vegas? | BUY | 0.1843603511 | $8.64 |
| 08-03 18:28 | Will Trump say "Lincoln Memorial" in August? | BUY | 0.7799999888 | $13.89 |
| 08-03 02:41 | Will Leavitt say "Pool" during the next White House Press Briefing? | BUY | 0.3899999569 | $3.71 |
| 08-02 02:10 | Will Trump say "Ballroom" this week? | BUY | 0.8832327124 | $13.22 |
| 08-01 16:10 | Will Marco Rubio say "JD" or "Vance" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.3299999638 | $3.28 |
| 08-01 16:07 | Will Marco Rubio say "Venezuela" or "Maduro" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.6463235294 | $26.37 |
| 08-01 14:19 | Will Marco Rubio say "Venezuela" or "Maduro" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.7088730786 | $9.04 |
| 08-01 14:19 | Will Marco Rubio say "Venezuela" or "Maduro" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.6499999777 | $5.83 |