lekkerweertje
0x993c95f836ea033d97a08985060869270e208f7a
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $38.0k
- Markets traded
- 342
- Open portfolio
- $385.41
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded342
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration30.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? · Yes | 0.236 | 0.230 | $116.64 | −$3.27 |
| Trump meets with Putin by December 31? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.670 | $66.48 | −$0.99 |
| Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.659 | 0.680 | $65.52 | +$2.04 |
| Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? · Yes | 0.680 | 0.665 | $63.01 | −$1.42 |
| Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? · Yes | 0.584 | 0.650 | $21.46 | +$2.18 |
| Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.904 | $15.43 | +$9.29 |
| Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.765 | 0.770 | $12.65 | +$0.09 |
| Will Trump say "Predict" or "Prediction" in September? · Yes | 0.748 | 0.570 | $10.49 | −$3.28 |
| Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.865 | $7.15 | +$3.68 |
| Will the United States have an Ebola case in 2026? · Yes | 0.669 | 0.195 | $6.59 | −$16.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$611.23at 0.897Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on April 28?
- +$419.91at 0.415US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
- +$204.52at 0.853Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on April 21?
- +$192.12at 0.184Will Trump say "Transgender" during Speech to the Nation?
- +$157.51at 0.673Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 29?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-20 14:05 | Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799996533 | $1.08 |
| 09-20 06:41 | Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7599999088 | $1.00 |
| 09-20 05:11 | Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.759999803 | $1.08 |
| 09-19 06:45 | Will the Greenland agreement text be released by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.7641388893 | $9.40 |
| 09-18 20:26 | Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.6099999965 | $7.07 |
| 09-18 19:08 | Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.6588244759 | $63.48 |
| 09-18 18:08 | Trump meets with Putin by December 31? | BUY | 0.6799999948 | $67.47 |
| 09-18 18:05 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.2356414115 | $40.91 |
| 09-18 10:30 | Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during his remarks at the United Nations General Assembly? | BUY | 0.5699999902 | $12.21 |
| 09-18 08:53 | Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $64.43 |
| 09-18 08:53 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.229999999 | $20.57 |
| 09-16 23:44 | Will Trump say "Crime" or "Criminal" 15+ times during his remarks in North Carolina? | BUY | 0.61 | $0.09 |
| 09-16 05:06 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.2299999999 | $43.39 |
| 09-14 20:32 | Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | BUY | 0.2712685403 | $15.04 |
| 09-14 17:59 | Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in September? | BUY | 0.4199999879 | $3.47 |