LeslieSingleton91
0x993bbef576e16fa40244f28c37bd2c6935236e90
- Realised P&L
- $-12.58
- Volume
- $9.4k
- Markets traded
- 354
- Open portfolio
- $92.06
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded354
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration37.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Rachel Hurley be the TN-05 Democratic nominee? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $34.18 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $20.28 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 7? · No | 0.999 | 0.998 | $18.69 | −$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $12.11 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 6? · No | 0.999 | 0.999 | $6.80 | +$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.09at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$0.09at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$0.06at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 8?
- +$0.06at 0.996Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 60-61°F on April 23?
- +$0.05at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 20°C on May 1?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 01:46 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on August 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.71 |
| 08-06 00:14 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 95°F or below on August 6? | BUY | 0.9989999665 | $20.30 |
| 08-05 19:56 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on August 6? | BUY | 0.9989999714 | $6.80 |
| 08-05 17:49 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 88-89°F on August 6? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.10 |
| 08-05 11:51 | Will Rachel Hurley be the TN-05 Democratic nominee? | BUY | 0.9989999776 | $34.20 |
| 07-31 05:38 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in July 2026? | SELL | 0.9972011597 | $22.36 |
| 07-31 02:29 | Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.40 |
| 07-30 20:12 | Will London have between 70-80mm of precipitation in July? | BUY | 0.998 | $18.10 |
| 07-30 20:02 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in July? | SELL | 0.998 | $21.18 |
| 07-30 20:00 | US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $27.17 |
| 07-30 17:14 | US charges Hormuz fees by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $27.20 |
| 07-30 16:19 | Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.20 in July? | BUY | 0.999 | $21.20 |
| 07-30 12:38 | Will "Dai Dai - Shakira, Burna Boy" be the #1 song this week? | BUY | 0.999 | $14.80 |
| 07-30 10:40 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.40 |
| 07-29 23:56 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 39°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.998 | $28.90 |