LeslieSingleton91
0x993bbef576e16fa40244f28c37bd2c6935236e90
- Realised P&L
- $-11.50
- Volume
- $10.8k
- Markets traded
- 434
- Open portfolio
- $29.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded434
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration4.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $22.18 | −$0.02 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 28? · No | 0.998 | 1.000 | $7.01 | +$0.01 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.09at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$0.08at 0.998Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?
- +$0.06at 0.998Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 11?
- +$0.06at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,100 and $2,200 on August 14?
- +$0.06at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,600 on July 8?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:02 | Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026? | BUY | 0.9982499325 | $22.20 |
| 09-27 21:25 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on September 28? | BUY | 0.998 | $7.00 |
| 09-23 04:00 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.06 |
| 09-23 01:11 | Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.999 | $15.50 |
| 09-23 00:37 | Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $19.20 |
| 09-22 23:45 | Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the September meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.20 |
| 09-22 23:24 | Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate after the September meeting? | BUY | 0.999 | $9.30 |
| 09-21 21:49 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $14.40 |
| 09-18 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $6.70 |
| 09-17 15:45 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 18? | BUY | 0.997999972 | $16.60 |
| 09-13 03:38 | Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m? | BUY | 0.9982815759 | $11.20 |
| 09-11 18:22 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on September 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $16.59 |
| 09-11 02:09 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 11? | BUY | 0.9979999647 | $23.00 |
| 09-10 20:09 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C or higher on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.60 |
| 09-07 17:30 | Will Connor Burbridge be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Rhode Island? | BUY | 0.998 | $19.10 |