MohenTohen
0x9939ba7a8018f1c65c5260f87cee5320474dd3be
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $1.60M
- Markets traded
- 423
- Open portfolio
- $4.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded423
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)48.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Naftali Bennett receive the first mandate to form a government after the 2026 Israeli election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.001 | $3.05 | −$3.05 |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · No | 0.090 | 0.007 | $1.50 | −$16.50 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.368 | 0.200 | $0.32 | −$0.27 |
| Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · No | 0.024 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$223.57 |
| Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$445.45 |
| Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.56 |
| Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? · Yes | 0.001 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$565.99at 0.487Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$510.00at 0.150Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
- +$401.32at 0.001Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
- +$390.04at 0.349Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET
- +$370.99at 0.258Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-31 11:31 | Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.001 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 09:59 | Will The Democrats win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.56 |
| 10-28 06:56 | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.016 | $1.39 |
| 10-27 21:39 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.001 | $37.47 |
| 10-27 20:16 | Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.82 | $16.40 |
| 10-27 20:12 | Will Together win the third-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.181 | $57.60 |
| 10-27 17:43 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.0046897318 | $16.47 |
| 10-27 17:15 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.26 |
| 10-27 17:10 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.004 | $40.00 |
| 10-27 16:45 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.004 | $0.86 |
| 10-27 16:10 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.003 | $3.70 |
| 10-27 15:49 | Will voter turnout be 77% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.715 | $7.15 |
| 10-27 15:48 | Will voter turnout be 75% or higher in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.84 | $8.40 |
| 10-27 15:31 | Will voter turnout be between 70% and 72% in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | SELL | 0.007 | $0.23 |
| 10-27 15:10 | Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | BUY | 0.003 | $2.84 |