mustery
0x9936c2d016afb6c71d9c39960c11c8b35193c1a9
- Realised P&L
- $-5.4k
- Volume
- $1.13M
- Markets traded
- 120
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded120
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reya FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.813 | 0.901 | $1.0k | +$99.35 |
| Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? · No | 0.900 | 0.924 | $921.04 | +$23.94 |
| Makina FDV above $300M one day after launch? · No | 0.905 | 0.940 | $188.01 | +$7.00 |
| Perena FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No | 0.919 | 0.923 | $107.42 | +$0.51 |
| Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? · No | 0.726 | 0.860 | $104.33 | +$16.20 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.768 | 0.009 | $17.23 | −$1.5k |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by June 30? · Yes | 0.408 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$7.9k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.2kat 0.834Will Paradex launch a token on March 5?
- +$7.1kat 0.801Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$4.6kat 0.732Fluent FDV above $500M one day after launch?
- +$2.3kat 0.750Over $6M committed to the Fluent public sale?
- +$688.75at 0.731Will Backpack launch a token on March 23?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-23 11:53 | Reya FDV above $400M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.944 | $18.88 |
| 07-09 07:06 | Will Ostium launch a token by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.47 | $7.60 |
| 04-29 13:57 | Space FDV above $5M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9084953202 | $681.41 |
| 04-24 13:19 | Fluent FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0043542727 | $2.22 |
| 04-24 13:17 | Fluent FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0164516129 | $5.10 |
| 04-22 11:12 | Over $150M committed to the Pharos public sale? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.26 |
| 04-22 11:11 | Over $150M committed to the Pharos public sale? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.26 |
| 04-22 11:11 | Over $150M committed to the Pharos public sale? | BUY | 0.98 | $45.31 |
| 04-22 11:11 | Over $200M committed to the Pharos public sale? | BUY | 0.98 | $5.32 |
| 04-22 11:11 | Over $200M committed to the Pharos public sale? | BUY | 0.98 | $10.27 |
| 04-22 11:11 | Over $200M committed to the Pharos public sale? | BUY | 0.98 | $45.32 |
| 04-13 16:44 | Over $6M committed to the Fluent public sale? | BUY | 0.999 | $4.6k |
| 04-13 16:43 | Over $14M committed to the Fluent public sale? | BUY | 0.999 | $97.84 |
| 04-12 19:17 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | SELL | 0.013 | $65.00 |
| 04-12 18:29 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar? | BUY | 0.08 | $400.00 |