0x9926011eDA6ecf48A8F61d5f1D02B385645A5d2C-1773790008428
0x9926011eda6ecf48a8f61d5f1d02b385645a5d2c
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $505.6k
- Markets traded
- 45
- Open portfolio
- $465.34
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded45
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)53.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$823.56at 0.098Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
- +$373.82at 0.215UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)
- +$288.86at 0.447Knicks vs. Cavaliers
- +$258.77at 0.605Thunder vs. Spurs
- +$195.73at 0.342Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 20:16 | Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.022 | $5.06 |
| 09-13 15:15 | Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0311298701 | $7.19 |
| 09-12 21:43 | Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0520336628 | $27.48 |
| 09-11 14:43 | Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3868838633 | $100.00 |
| 09-11 14:43 | Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.0459240265 | $68.00 |
| 09-10 12:36 | LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1228104647 | $100.00 |
| 09-09 13:59 | LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.3674280028 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 13:45 | LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.13 | $86.67 |
| 09-08 13:45 | LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0556151256 | $79.45 |
| 09-08 13:44 | LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0327359294 | $70.08 |
| 09-08 13:37 | LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.260785106 | $500.00 |
| 09-08 13:37 | LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.1499999999 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 13:37 | LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.07 | $100.00 |
| 09-08 13:37 | LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.0467148265 | $100.00 |
| 07-29 12:34 | Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.2412035204 | $100.00 |