PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0x9926011eDA6ecf48A8F61d5f1D02B385645A5d2C-1773790008428

0x9926011eda6ecf48a8f61d5f1d02b385645a5d2c

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$505.6k
Markets traded
45
Open portfolio
$465.34

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded45
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration32.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample28 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)53.6%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration79.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026? · Yes0.0440.025$371.93$290.78
Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.3870.255$65.91$34.09
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.1000.055$27.50$22.50
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00$118.98
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026? · Yes0.0120.000$0.00$100.00
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07? · No0.0790.000$0.00$79.00
Trump declassifies new UFO files by April 30? · Yes0.2620.000$0.00$408.98
LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch? · No0.3670.000$0.00$100.00
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) · Tatsuro Taira0.2500.000$0.00$100.00
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by June 30? · Yes0.3290.000$0.00$98.84
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? · Yes0.0030.000$0.00$809.62
LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch? · No0.1230.000$0.00$100.00
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$44.96
LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch? · No0.2610.000$0.00$500.00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting? · No0.2410.000$0.00$100.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-16 20:16Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.022$5.06
09-13 15:15Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0311298701$7.19
09-12 21:43Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0520336628$27.48
09-11 14:43Will Ink launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY0.3868838633$100.00
09-11 14:43Will Ink launch a token by September 30, 2026?BUY0.0459240265$68.00
09-10 12:36LAPTOP FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.1228104647$100.00
09-09 13:59LAPTOP FDV above $250M one day after launch?BUY0.3674280028$100.00
09-08 13:45LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?SELL0.13$86.67
09-08 13:45LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?SELL0.0556151256$79.45
09-08 13:44LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?SELL0.0327359294$70.08
09-08 13:37LAPTOP FDV above $100M one day after launch?BUY0.260785106$500.00
09-08 13:37LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?BUY0.1499999999$100.00
09-08 13:37LAPTOP FDV above $25M one day after launch?BUY0.07$100.00
09-08 13:37LAPTOP FDV above $10M one day after launch?BUY0.0467148265$100.00
07-29 12:34Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?BUY0.2412035204$100.00