randooo2
0x991d7a6b8a05757327498a3371090ed9616aad9d
- Realised P&L
- $-7.2k
- Volume
- $384.4k
- Markets traded
- 98
- Open portfolio
- $345.77
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded98
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration39.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 26? · Yes | 0.295 | 0.330 | $345.77 | +$36.31 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14? · No | 0.620 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.13 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? · No | 0.190 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.85 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 15? · Down | 0.180 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$102.79 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on July 14? · Down | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$418.94 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 12? · No | 0.600 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.93 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET · Up | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$8.87 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 3, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET · Up | 0.520 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$121.58 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET · Down | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.94 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31? · Yes | 0.412 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$333.09 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.5kat 0.349Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 2?
- +$1.8kat 0.469Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 22?
- +$751.60at 0.260Will Israel strike Lebanon on December 21?
- +$703.50at 0.550Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on February 25?
- +$699.99at 0.100Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-25 22:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 26? | BUY | 0.2899999938 | $3.74 |
| 09-25 22:10 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 26? | BUY | 0.2954101846 | $305.72 |
| 09-25 00:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.3099999987 | $24.44 |
| 09-25 00:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on September 25? | BUY | 0.29 | $314.07 |
| 09-23 12:38 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | SELL | 0.36 | $162.41 |
| 09-23 12:33 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | SELL | 0.35 | $317.45 |
| 09-23 12:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | SELL | 0.38 | $296.02 |
| 09-23 02:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.219999996 | $5.51 |
| 09-22 22:21 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.2699999446 | $1.12 |
| 09-22 22:19 | Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in September? | BUY | 0.27 | $5.40 |
| 09-21 03:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September? | BUY | 0.1899999973 | $9.85 |
| 09-13 15:29 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13? | SELL | 0.0158203614 | $7.71 |
| 09-13 15:26 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13? | SELL | 0.07 | $3.50 |
| 09-13 00:54 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $2.00 |
| 09-13 00:53 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13? | BUY | 0.4399999996 | $234.54 |