0x991c0100d87143bb819a01ab1568c6398492ce48
- Realised P&L
- $-5.58
- Volume
- $238.07
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $0.48
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration100.0% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day? · Yes | 0.610 | 0.290 | $0.48 | −$0.52 |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1? · Yes | 0.007 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? · Yes | 0.030 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? · Yes | 0.086 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.05at 0.940Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week?
- +$-0.10at 0.051Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02-19 10:25 | Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31? | BUY | 0.3599998704 | $1.00 |
| 02-19 10:22 | Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February? | BUY | 0.2899998666 | $1.00 |
| 02-18 08:34 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in February? | BUY | 0.0859999286 | $1.00 |
| 02-18 08:32 | Will Strava’s market cap be between $2B and $3B at market close on IPO day? | BUY | 0.6099998597 | $1.00 |
| 02-16 17:34 | Will MrBeast's next video get 55 million or more views on day 1? | BUY | 0.0069487185 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 08:52 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 08:51 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | SELL | 0.046 | $0.90 |
| 02-15 08:50 | Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in February? | BUY | 0.0510000004 | $1.00 |
| 02-15 08:49 | Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | SELL | 0.983 | $1.04 |
| 02-14 06:59 | Will "DtMF - Bad Bunny" be the #1 song on Spotify this week? | BUY | 0.9399999624 | $1.00 |