PolyBot

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Traders

toon.ch

0x9917c334837e40b5e1149da65f2f787c12525583

Realised P&L
$47.86
Volume
$1.1k
Markets traded
74
Open portfolio
$92.20

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded74
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample21 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-18 01:57Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 18?BUY0.11$4.15
10-18 01:37Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 18?BUY0.08$1.94
10-18 01:36Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 19?BUY0.17$7.24
10-18 01:36Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 19?BUY0.29$3.21
10-18 01:03Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on October 18?BUY0.36$3.60
10-18 00:44Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on October 18?BUY0.04$1.20
10-18 00:43Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 18?BUY0.029$1.60
10-18 00:41Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 18?BUY0.021$0.21
10-18 00:09Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on October 17?SELL0.996$12.45
10-18 00:06Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18?BUY0.07$1.58
10-18 00:04Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 18?BUY0.29$4.35
10-17 23:51Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 18?SELL0.53$1.74
10-17 23:51Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 18?SELL0.32$2.00
10-17 23:32Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 18?SELL0.37$2.18
10-17 23:31Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 18?SELL0.22$2.20