toon.ch
0x9917c334837e40b5e1149da65f2f787c12525583
- Realised P&L
- $47.86
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 74
- Open portfolio
- $92.20
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.2%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded74
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration42.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)90.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration11.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$21.97at 0.073Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 17?
- +$10.36at 0.167Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on October 17?
- +$7.05at 0.223Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 13°C on October 17?
- +$3.97at 0.331Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 10°C on October 17?
- +$2.72at 0.280Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C on October 18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 01:57 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.11 | $4.15 |
| 10-18 01:37 | Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.94 |
| 10-18 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.17 | $7.24 |
| 10-18 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 9°C on October 19? | BUY | 0.29 | $3.21 |
| 10-18 01:03 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.36 | $3.60 |
| 10-18 00:44 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.04 | $1.20 |
| 10-18 00:43 | Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.029 | $1.60 |
| 10-18 00:41 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 70-71°F on October 18? | BUY | 0.021 | $0.21 |
| 10-18 00:09 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 64-65°F on October 17? | SELL | 0.996 | $12.45 |
| 10-18 00:06 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.58 |
| 10-18 00:04 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on October 18? | BUY | 0.29 | $4.35 |
| 10-17 23:51 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.53 | $1.74 |
| 10-17 23:51 | Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.32 | $2.00 |
| 10-17 23:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.37 | $2.18 |
| 10-17 23:31 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 18? | SELL | 0.22 | $2.20 |