0x99125a515e99f8a21feb4c72fd4f2765b229a027
0x99125a515e99f8a21feb4c72fd4f2765b229a027
- Realised P&L
- $-328.92
- Volume
- $106.0k
- Markets traded
- 109
- Open portfolio
- $3.49
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded109
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vladimir Padrino López be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.001 | $1.85 | −$9.26 |
| Will Evan Pettus be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? · Yes | 0.002 | 0.001 | $1.63 | −$4.47 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET · Down | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.47 |
| Canadiens vs. Sabres · Sabres | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$80.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET · Down | 0.630 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$17.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET · Down | 0.505 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.48 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$83.68at 0.186Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 4.5
- +$69.63at 0.173Celtics vs. 76ers: O/U 213.5
- +$24.70at 0.245Fluminense FC vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: O/U 2.5
- +$23.54at 0.497Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 7PM ET
- +$20.36at 0.215Miami Marlins vs. San Francisco Giants
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-18 23:57 | Canadiens vs. Sabres | BUY | 0.3799999985 | $80.00 |
| 05-18 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $1.17 |
| 05-18 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6499999085 | $2.13 |
| 05-18 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5599999509 | $1.37 |
| 05-18 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $1.17 |
| 05-18 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.6599999889 | $7.15 |
| 05-18 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.45 | $1.17 |
| 05-18 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998806 | $1.42 |
| 05-18 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5299998806 | $1.42 |
| 05-18 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET | BUY | 0.5999999847 | $7.82 |
| 05-18 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5499999185 | $1.35 |
| 05-18 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET | BUY | 0.01 | $2.79 |
| 05-18 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4899998128 | $1.23 |
| 05-18 20:20 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.4899999759 | $1.22 |
| 05-18 20:19 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET | BUY | 0.5699998435 | $1.42 |