Mildreddcf
0x990eaf7108363e5386018b87f0843313d0c757c9
- Realised P&L
- $3.20
- Volume
- $11.6k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $23.84
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24? · Yes | 0.740 | 0.745 | $23.84 | +$0.16 |
| Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? · Yes | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.64 |
| Valorant: Evil Geniuses GC vs 7VEN STARS (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Brazil Final Stage Playoffs · 7VEN STARS | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$13.20 |
| Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) · Levante UD | 0.330 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$16.17 |
| Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-31? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.36 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$483.06at 0.500Will Trump nominate Lorie K. Logan as the next Fed chair?
- +$474.10at 0.500Over $2M committed to the Makina public sale?
- +$112.05at 0.500Will Adrienne Adams win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
- +$84.46at 0.500Will Mattias Skjelmose win the Tour de France 2025?
- +$29.87at 0.500Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-21 11:40 | Will Lithuania win on 2026-09-24? | BUY | 0.74 | $23.68 |
| 09-11 02:52 | Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5) | BUY | 0.33 | $16.17 |
| 08-24 06:52 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.998 | $59.88 |
| 08-24 06:52 | Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.06 |
| 08-24 06:52 | Valorant: Evil Geniuses GC vs 7VEN STARS (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Brazil Final Stage Playoffs | BUY | 0.22 | $13.20 |
| 08-13 02:39 | Will FK Rīgas Futbola Skola win on 2026-08-13? | BUY | 0.53 | $23.32 |
| 07-29 06:11 | Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-07-31? | BUY | 0.39 | $9.36 |
| 07-17 08:32 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.59 | $19.06 |
| 06-30 12:07 | Wimbledon WTA: Serena Williams vs Maya Joint | BUY | 0.56 | $17.81 |
| 06-30 12:06 | Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | SELL | 0.997 | $37.96 |
| 06-30 12:06 | Will Sadegh Mahsouli be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.998 | $38.00 |
| 06-15 06:42 | Will New Zealand win on 2026-06-21? | BUY | 0.2 | $12.64 |
| 06-03 06:58 | Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs | BUY | 0.58 | $13.05 |
| 05-26 09:31 | Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage | BUY | 0.58 | $22.85 |
| 05-07 06:19 | Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-05-10? | BUY | 0.45 | $6.75 |